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European CMBS Monitor Q1 2025

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Weekly European CLO Update


European CMBS Monitor Q1 2025

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All information is as of March 31, 2025, unless stated otherwise. *Rated by S&P Global Ratings. §Please find details in the "Specially Serviced Loans" section.

New Issuance

Four new transactions closed during the first quarter of 2025, three of which are rated by S&P Global Ratings. Pembroke Property Finance 3 DAC, which we rate, is a granular transaction and is therefore not included in the loan statistics of the report.

Table 1

Closed issuance - Q1 2025
Transaction name Issuance amount (mil. £) Arranger No. of loans No. of properties Sponsor Property type Jurisdiction Article
Sequoia Logistics 2025-1 DAC 428.8§ Barclays 1 53 Blackstone Logistics France, The Netherlands, Finland, Germany Presale: Sequoia Logistics 2025-1 DAC
Pembroke Property Finance 3 DAC 277.6§ BNP Paribas, HSBC 109 233 Various Mixed Ireland Presale: Pembroke Property Finance 3 DAC
Taurus 2025-1 EU DAC* 212.3§ Bank of America 1 37 Carlyle Logistics Germany, France
Taurus 2025-2 U.K. DAC 356.9 Bank of America 2 36 Lone Star Real Estate Fund VII and Henderson Park Mixed U.K. Presale: Taurus 2025-2 U.K. DAC
*Transaction not rated by S&P Global Ratings. §Converted to British pound Sterling, original currency was euro.

Table 2

New issuance - pricing
Transaction name Sequoia Logistics 2025-1 DAC Pembroke Property Finance 3 DAC Taurus 2025-1 EU DAC Taurus 2025-2 UK DAC
Closing date Feb. 13, 2025 Feb. 24, 2025 Feb. 27, 2025 March 27, 2025
Deal size (mil. £)* 429 278 212 357
Index Euribor Euribor Euribor Sterling
AAA 128 102 118 150
AA 175 145 / 190 150 200
A 190 260 165 250
BBB 270 295 235 320
BB 380 N/A 350 N/A
B N/A 491 N/A N/A
Weighted-average 192 168 179 191
Loan margin 192 N/A N/A 258**
Excess before senior expenses 0 N/A N/A 67
*Excluding issuer loan and liquidity reserve. **Weighted average of two loans. Units are in basis points unless otherwise stated.

Surveillance

Table 3

List of European CMBS surveillance rating actions
Article Publication date
Elizabeth Finance 2018 DAC Class A U.K. CMBS Rating Lowered; Other Notes Affirmed Feb. 19, 2025

The outstanding S&P Global Ratings-rated European CMBS balance increased to £19.7 billion from £19.5 billion over the past quarter. The increase is due to the addition of new loans. Also, the class A5 notes (£0.6 billion balance) of the single loan in the Land Securities Capital Markets PLC transaction were redeemed in the first quarter of 2025.

Table 4

European CMBS: Key statistics
Q1 2025 Q4 2024 Q3 2024 Q2 2024
1.0 loans
Loan balance (bil. £) 11.6 12.4 12.2 12.3
Number of loans outstanding 14 14 14 14
Number of transactions outstanding 13 13 13 13
2.0 loans
Loan balance (bil. £) 8.1 7.1 7.7 8.0
Number of loans outstanding 26 24 26 28
Number of transactions outstanding 25 23 25 27
Total
Loan balance (bil. £) 19.7 19.5 19.9 20.4
Number of loans outstanding 40 38 40 42
Number of transactions outstanding 38 36 38 40

Chart 1

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Chart 2

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Table 5

Loans repaid
Transaction Loan Securitized loan balance last quarter (£) Jurisdiction(s) Asset type Loan maturity date Note final maturity date Comment
Starz Mortgage Securities 2021-1 DAC Sellar Loan 25,558,838 U.K. Hotel January 20, 2025 November 22, 2038 The loan fully repaid in February 2025.

Table 6

List of next 12 months' maturing loans
Deal name Loan name Securitized loan balance (£) % of loan pool balance Loan maturity Extension option upon maturity? LTV (%) Debt yield (%) Servicer name Specially serviced? No. of properties Asset type Jurisdiction
Viridis (European Loan Conduit No. 38) DAC Aldgate Tower 142,285,066 78 April 20, 2025§ N* 0.70 0.06 Mount Street Mortgage Servicing Ltd. N 1 Office U.K.
Salus (European Loan Conduit No. 33) DAC Senior Loan 367,500,000 80 April 20, 2025§ N* 0.54 0.09 Mount Street Mortgage Servicing Ltd. N 1 Office U.K.
Starz Mortgage Securities 2021-1 DAC Zamek 24,670,227 100 April 20, 2025 N* 0.69 0.08 Situs Asset Management Limited N 2 Residential housing U.K.
Bruegel 2021 DAC Senior Loan 168,828,550 100 May 15, 2025 Y 0.58 0.13 CBRE Loan Services Ltd. N 7 Mixed use The Netherlands
UNITE (USAF) II PLC UNITE (USAF) II PLC 395,000,000 100 June 30, 2025 N* 0.32 Not reported None N 34 Student housing U.K.
DECO 2019-RAM DAC INTU Derby 37,740,650 95 July 30, 2025 N* 0.17 Not reported Situs Asset Management Limited N 1 Retail U.K.
Taurus 2019-4 FIN DAC Senior Loan 125,518,058 100 Aug. 16, 2025§ N* 0.68 0.12 CBRE Loan Services Ltd. N 1 Mixed use Finland
Frost CMBS 2021-1 DAC New Cold 184,306,894 100 Nov. 17, 2025 Y 0.61 0.09 Mount Street Mortgage Servicing Ltd. N 3 Logistics U.K./Germany/France
Highways 2021 PLC Secured Loan 264,500,000 100 Dec. 16, 2025 Y 0.62 0.14 CBRE Loan Services Ltd. N 8 Motorway service stations U.K.
Taurus 2021-3 DEU DAC The Squaire Loan 440,484,444 100 Dec. 19, 2025§ N* 0.68 0.07 Situs Asset Management Limited N 2 Mixed use Germany
N*--Either all loan extension options have been exercised or there are no extension options. §--New final loan maturity date. LTV--Loan-to-value
Loans maturing in the next 12 months
Viridis (European Loan Conduit No. 38) DAC

The loan has been extended three times, once for six months and then for one month. Since then, the loan has been further extended and the loan is due to mature on April 20, 2025. The loan fully repaid in April 2025.

Salus (European Loan Conduit No. 33) DAC

The loan had previously been extended twice--once for a 12-month period and then for an additional three months to April 2025. Noteholders have a consent solicitation that would further extend the loan, leaving a one-year tail period. On April 8, 2025, we placed all ratings in the transaction on CreditWatch negative ahead of the consent solicitation. The consent solicitation has been agreed and will now be implemented. We will review the consent solicitation terms and the transaction accordingly and resolve the CreditWatch negative placements. In our view, refinancing the loan has proven challenging due to higher interest rates and declining office property values, although the collateral is a well-located and a good-quality office property in Central London.

Starz Mortgage Securities 2021-1 DAC (Zamek loan)

The loan matures in April 2025 and has no extension option available. Its current loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is 69.2%, following an updated valuation in January 2024. The loan is hedged with an interest rate cap at 0.88% until loan maturity, which is expected to increase upon refinancing. However, the high occupancy rate (97.6% in the February 2025 investor report) of the two secured residential properties in the U.K., as well as the strength of the residential market should support the loan's refinance prospects in 2025.

Bruegel 2021 DAC

The loan is set to mature in May 2025 after the borrower exercised its first one-year extension option, with one more loan extension option remaining. Our S&P Value (as of June 2023) is 8.7% higher than at closing, underpinned by sustainable rental income generated and relatively low vacancy of the assets (predominantly office buildings) located in the Netherlands. However, we are cautious about the negative effects on office space demand due to the hybrid working trend and economic downturn. The loan benefits from a low interest burden based on a 1.5% interest rate cap, which remains unchanged upon loan extension. The transaction's LTV ratio of 57.3% is based on a new valuation from July 2024. Its debt yield of 13.7% remains healthy due to the secured commercial properties' overall good location and quality. Therefore, the loan is likely to be extended for a further year.

UNITE (USAF) II PLC

The loan is secured on 34 student accommodation buildings spread across England, Scotland, and Wales. The borrower is an indirect subsidiary of UNITE U.K. Student Accommodation Fund (USAF), the U.K.'s largest specialist student accommodation fund. Its historical interest coverage ratio (ICR) of 2.7x according to the March 2025 investor report is backed up by the 97.3% occupancy of the portfolio in the academic year 2024/2025, along with positive U.K. student accommodation market demand. Moreover, the loan has a low leverage of 31%. We believe this loan is in a good position to refinance when it matures in June 2025.

DECO 2019-RAM DAC

The loan has been extended for one year until July 2025, with no further extension options remaining. The borrower significantly prepaid the loan and note balance on the May 2023 interest payment date (IPD), which satisfied the LTV ratio and ICR covenants. The securitized loan LTV ratio has further improved to 17.2% on the January 2025 IPD from 17.7% last quarter. The ICR for the loan is strong at 8.06x. We believe the loan is in a very good position to refinance.

Taurus 2019-4 FIN DAC

A further one-year extension to August 2025 beyond the loan's initial extended maturity was granted, subject to certain amendments including required hedging conditions. The smaller office property was sold in February 2024 and the only remaining asset is a shopping center in Finland, whose vacancy deteriorated to 12.0% on the November IPD from close to 10% about half a year ago. The weighted-average lease term to break is short at 3.2 years, but the debt yield is 11.7%. The considerably higher reported leverage of 68.2% since 2024 was due to the release of almost all the trapped cash. Overall, we believe this loan's refinancing prospects have turned less promising, given the relatively high leverage post the release of the trapped cash.

Frost CMBS 2021-1 DAC

The loan (denominated in British pound sterling and euro) is secured on three cold-storage facilities in England, Germany, and France. It was extended to November 2025, with one one-year extension option remaining. The new interest rate swaps are in place with rates of 2.567% and 2.532%, respectively, for the Argentan and Rheine portions of the EUR Loan and 4.283% for the GBP Loan, compared to the older interest rate cap at 2% for all the loans. The servicer reports a moderate LTV ratio of 60.9% and a debt yield of 8.9x. We believe the special tenant needs for such properties will support the loan's second extension later in 2025.

Highways 2021 PLC

This is the first transaction backed by U.K. motorway service stations that we have rated. The loan was extended for the second time (and the new loan maturity date is in December 2025) with complied hedging conditions and can be further extended once by one year. All the properties are leased to a single tenant, Welcome Break, which reports an EBITDAR of 1.9x its rent. Given the underlying tenant's stable performance and the EBITDAR, we believe the loan will be extended again. The latest valuation of the underlying properties in December 2023 showed a 3.5% decrease from the December 2022 one.

Taurus 2021-3 DEU DAC

The loan was set to mature in December 2024 with no extension options exercisable. According to the latest special notice in December 2024, the loan has been extended for one year subject to several loan extension conditions including a cash trap, a reserve of €14.5 million being put in place, the rental income from the hotel being placed in a rental income account, as well as 100% of the hotel disposal proceeds being applied in prepayment of the loan. The loan is secured by the Squaire building complex adjoining Frankfurt Airport, comprising primarily office space and two hotels. The vacancy rate is high at 19% and the debt yield continues to deteriorate and is currently 7.0x and close to the covenant of 6.7x. The anticipated declining cash flow from the office space particularly challenges this loan's refinancing prospects upon its extended maturity in December 2025.

Specially Serviced Loans

In the first quarter of 2025, there remained one loan in special servicing, the same as in Q4 2024.

The Maroon loan in Elizabeth Finance 2018 DAC is solely secured by U.K. retail assets (see table 7). It remains in the special servicing index this quarter but will be removed from next quarter. The ratings on all classes of the notes in the transaction were withdrawn at the beginning of April 2025 after we lowered the ratings on the notes to 'D (sf)'.

Table 7

Special servicing index
Transaction Loan Securitized loan balance Transaction closing date Date added Jurisdiction(s) Asset type Special servicer
Elizabeth Finance 2018 DAC Maroon loan 63,051,870 Nov. 29, 2017 April 15, 2020 U.K. Retail Mount Street Mortgage Servicing Ltd.

Chart 3

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Chart 4

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Appendix

Notes on our data

All information is as of March 31, 2025, unless stated otherwise.

The figure for the loans in European CMBS transactions that we rate excludes the loans in small-loan transactions Dutch property Finance 2022-CMBS1 B.V., Pembroke Property Finance 3 DAC, Sandwell Commercial Finance No. 2 PLC, and Diversity Funding No. 1 Ltd.

1.0 and 2.0 loans  Loans originated from the year 2009 onward are classified as 2.0 loans. All other loans originated before this period are defined as 1.0 loans.

Currency  Starting from Q1 2023, we changed the reporting currency to British pound sterling given U.K. transactions represent a majority share of our rated European CMBS transactions.

Table 8

List of related European CMBS publications (non-rating action)
Article Publication date
EMEA Structured Finance Chart Book: April 2025 April 25, 2025
EMEA Structured Finance Chart Book: March 2025 March 21, 2025
EMEA Structured Finance Chart Book: February 2025 February 26, 2025

This report does not constitute a rating action.

Primary Credit Analyst:Carla N Powell, London + 44 20 7176 3982;
carla.powell@spglobal.com
Secondary Contact:Mathias Herzog, Frankfurt + 49 693 399 9112;
mathias.herzog@spglobal.com
Research Contributor:Shweta Sawant, CRISIL Global Analytical Center, an S&P affiliate, Mumbai

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