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Default, Transition, and Recovery: 2024 Annual U.S. Public Finance Default And Rating Transition Study

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Default, Transition, and Recovery: 2024 Annual U.S. Corporate Default And Rating Transition Study


Default, Transition, and Recovery: 2024 Annual U.S. Public Finance Default And Rating Transition Study

Overall credit quality remained positive, but upgrades and downgrades were relatively more balanced across USPF last year. S&P Global Ratings raised 743 USPF ratings (42 housing and 701 nonhousing) and lowered 491 (8 housing and 483 nonhousing), compared with 1,157 upgrades and 257 downgrades in 2023. Eight USPF obligors rated by S&P Global Ratings defaulted in 2024, up from four in 2023. For historical context, from 2014 to 2024 average defaults per year were 9.4. This compares to 2004 to 2014 where average defaults per year were 6.7. The overall default rate in 2024 was 0.03%, up very slightly from 0.02% in 2023.

In 2024, three sectors had more downgrades than upgrades: health care, utilities, and charter schools (see tables 1 and 2). Transportation had the largest percentage of ratings raised, at 15.6% (42 upgrades and zero downgrades), because of continued improvements in airport revenue and operations as actual passenger demand continued to outpace our activity estimates. A trend seen after the pandemic trough in 2020.

The total number of USPF ratings at the beginning of 2024 was 23,479 (including 2,330 housing), down slightly from the start of 2023. The number of ratings in the 'CCC' to 'C' categories, where default activity is concentrated, was 19 at the start of 2024 (eight nonhousing and 11 housing), down from 20 at the start of 2023 (nine nonhousing and 11 housing). USPF remains a sector overwhelmingly represented by investment-grade ratings.

In this study, local government ratings are a combination of two security types: tax secured and appropriation. Tax-secured debt covers state or local government general obligations (GOs), while appropriation debt is subject to annual appropriations by issuers and is typically rated one notch lower than the GO debt ratings. In table 1, the local government row aggregates tax-secured and appropriation rating actions. Additionally, the nonhousing row represents the totals of all nonhousing sectors.

Table 1

Upgrades, downgrades, and defaults rates by sector (2024)
Upgrade% Downgrade% Default% Upgrades Downgrades Defaults
Local governments* 3.30 1.69 0.01 562 288 1
Tax secured 3.51 1.73 0.01 448 221 1
Appropriation 2.69 1.58 0.00 114 67 0
Utility 2.31 5.02 0.00 53 115 0
Higher education 3.38 3.13 0.25 27 25 2
Health care 2.30 9.45 0.46 10 41 2
Transportation 15.56 0.00 0.00 42 0 0
Charter schools 2.05 4.09 0.29 7 14 1
Non-housing 3.31 2.28 0.03 701 483 6
Housing 1.80 0.34 0.09 42 8 2
*Includes tax secured and appropriations. Sources: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights and S&P Global Market Intelligence's CreditPro®.

Rating Changes In 2024

Most Sectors had More Upgrades Than Downgrades

For nonhousing, upgrades fell to 3.3% of total ratings in 2024, from 4.8% in 2023, and downgrades rose to 2.3% from 1.1% (see table 2). The stability rate (the rate at which an issuer had the same rating at the start of the year as at the end of the year) was up very slightly to 90.2% from 90.1% in 2023, and the ratio of downgrades to upgrades also rose, to 0.7 to 1. For housing, upgrades fell to 1.8% of ratings in 2024, from 5.7% in 2023, and downgrades fell to 0.3% from 0.8%. The stability rate rose to 92.7% in 2024, from 87.7% in 2023, while the ratio of downgrades to upgrades rose very slightly to 0.2 to 1 in 2024, from 0.1 to 1 in 2023.

Long-term statistics

Historically, the stability of USPF nonhousing ratings has remained high. The 87.6% long-term weighted average stability rate for nonhousing has a standard deviation of only 4.4%, and the lowest stability rates (78.5% in 2009 and 75.5% in 1995) indicate that even in the most adverse circumstances, nonhousing ratings tend to be stable.

For housing, the long-term weighted stability rate is 85.3%, with a standard deviation of 9.1%. However, there have been only six years with stability rates below 80%, compared with two for nonhousing. The lowest stability rate for housing was in 2011, when almost half of all housing ratings were lowered as the ratings carry that of the U.S. sovereign (which was downgraded that year).

The weighted average one-year default rate for nonhousing is 0.028% from 1986 to 2024. The highest annual default rate (0.08%) was from 2017, when there were 18 defaults. Since the post-financial-crisis spike in defaults starting in 2012, the default rate has averaged 0.04%.

For housing, the weighted average one-year default rate from 1986 to 2024 is 0.08%, with the highest default rate (0.63%) in 1991. Since 2012, the average one-year default rate is 0.11%.

Table 2

Summary of annual nonhousing rating changes (%)*
Year Issuers as of Jan. 1 Upgrades Downgrades§ Defaults Withdrawn ratings Changed ratings Unchanged ratings Downgrade/upgrade ratio
1981 3625.0 1.10 2.04 0.00 0.58 3.72 96.28 1.85
1982 3897.0 1.33 2.62 0.00 0.38 4.34 95.66 1.96
1983 4283.0 1.47 2.50 0.02 1.73 5.72 94.28 1.70
1984 4529.0 1.66 1.63 0.00 2.41 5.70 94.30 0.99
1985 4722.0 2.20 1.74 0.00 3.83 7.77 92.23 0.79
1986 5031.0 3.18 2.39 0.00 6.96 12.52 87.48 0.75
1987 5192.0 2.83 2.97 0.06 8.11 13.96 86.04 1.05
1988 5168.0 2.17 2.21 0.00 5.55 9.93 90.07 1.02
1989 5310.0 3.37 1.26 0.06 4.05 8.74 91.26 0.37
1990 5601.0 1.87 4.05 0.05 3.64 9.62 90.38 2.16
1991 5958.0 1.48 4.68 0.02 4.26 10.44 89.56 3.17
1992 6399.0 2.95 5.02 0.08 6.63 14.67 85.33 1.70
1993 6715.0 2.70 1.82 0.00 9.68 14.19 85.81 0.67
1994 6765.0 2.07 2.72 0.04 10.04 14.87 85.13 1.31
1995 6575.0 2.39 2.37 0.02 19.71 24.49 75.51 0.99
1996 5665.0 4.43 1.68 0.00 11.02 17.12 82.88 0.38
1997 5494.0 6.02 0.93 0.00 6.22 13.18 86.82 0.15
1998 5929.0 4.57 1.25 0.00 9.09 14.91 85.09 0.27
1999 6637.0 6.27 1.75 0.02 9.27 17.30 82.70 0.28
2000 7023.0 9.03 1.24 0.04 3.35 13.66 86.34 0.14
2001 7631.0 13.51 2.45 0.04 3.33 19.33 80.67 0.18
2002 8404.0 5.19 3.31 0.01 4.52 13.03 86.97 0.64
2003 9140.0 3.98 3.18 0.01 4.76 11.94 88.06 0.80
2004 10027.0 4.90 3.17 0.03 5.41 13.50 86.50 0.65
2005 10576.0 5.68 2.13 0.01 3.70 11.52 88.48 0.37
2006 11292.0 8.10 1.13 0.01 3.63 12.88 87.12 0.14
2007 12081.0 5.51 1.24 0.00 3.18 9.93 90.07 0.23
2008 12793.0 16.07 0.98 0.04 2.85 19.93 80.07 0.06
2009 13914.0 15.83 2.58 0.00 3.08 21.48 78.52 0.16
2010 15924.0 10.63 2.29 0.02 6.25 19.18 80.82 0.22
2011 17476.0 4.51 3.31 0.03 3.05 10.91 89.09 0.73
2012 18352.0 3.04 2.32 0.06 3.68 9.09 90.91 0.76
2013 19348.0 7.06 2.40 0.08 3.64 13.18 86.82 0.34
2014 20089.0 11.16 3.39 0.04 3.24 17.84 82.16 0.30
2015 20726.0 4.82 2.20 0.04 4.34 11.41 88.59 0.46
2016 21307.0 4.21 3.13 0.07 4.26 11.66 88.34 0.74
2017 21659.0 3.82 2.83 0.08 4.82 11.55 88.45 0.74
2018 21589.0 6.10 2.50 0.00 4.45 13.06 86.94 0.41
2019 21573.0 4.36 1.98 0.02 3.87 10.23 89.77 0.46
2020 21750.0 0.69 3.70 0.00 4.88 9.27 90.73 5.40
2021 21694.0 2.36 1.23 0.01 5.60 9.19 90.81 0.52
2022 21644.0 3.72 1.10 0.01 4.82 9.66 90.34 0.30
2023 21326.0 4.83 1.11 0.02 3.91 9.86 90.14 0.23
2024 21148.0 3.31 2.28 0.03 4.19 9.82 90.18 0.69
Weighted average 5.33 2.33 0.03 4.76 12.44 87.56 0.79
Average 4.92 2.34 0.02 5.13 12.42 87.58 0.85
Median 4.10 2.30 0.02 4.26 11.80 88.20 0.64
Standard deviation 3.67 0.96 0.02 3.25 4.40 4.40 0.95
Minimum 0.69 0.93 0.00 0.38 3.72 75.51 0.06
Maximum 16.07 5.02 0.08 19.71 24.49 96.28 5.40
*This table compares the net change in ratings from the first to the last day of each year. All intermediate ratings are disregarded. §Excludes downgrades to 'D', shown separately in the default column. Sources: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights and S&P Global Market Intelligence's CreditPro®.

Transportation Had The Most Improved Credit Quality Again

The subsectors making up USPF are distinct enough to warrant breaking out in our analysis, but some have a small number of issuers and therefore statistics may be skewed. Chart 1 shows each sector's percentages of upgrades and downgrades in 2024. The transportation sector had the highest upgrade rate (15.6%), followed by tax secured (3.5%) and higher education (3.4%).

Most of the transportation upgrades were concentrated in low-investment-grade (ratings 'BBB-' and higher) and high-speculative-grade (ratings 'BB+' and lower) rating categories (see table 3). The largest categories upgraded in state and local government were tax-secured 'BB' ratings and appropriations 'BBB' ratings.

Chart 1

image

Table 3

Rating category movement in 2024 by sector (%)
USPF Tax secured Appropriation
Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Lower
AAA N.A. 0.46 N.A. 0.73 N.A. 0.00
AA 0.26 0.76 0.36 1.00 0.00 0.17
A 1.90 0.74 1.84 0.32 2.52 0.56
BBB 5.38 2.22 7.58 0.47 10.00 0.00
BB 5.20 2.60 16.67 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 16.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 5.26 26.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Utility Housing Higher education
Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Lower
AAA N.A. 0.53 N.A. 0.00 N.A. 0.00
AA 0.73 1.67 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.52
A 0.71 2.85 3.23 0.65 1.60 1.60
BBB 0.66 5.26 17.46 3.17 2.16 2.70
BB 10.00 0.00 6.67 0.00 7.41 1.85
B 100.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 12.50 0.00
CCC/C 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.18 0.00 66.67
Health care Transportation Charter schools
Higher Lower Higher Lower Higher Lower
AAA N.A. 0.00 N.A. 0.00 N.A. 0.00
AA 0.00 5.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
A 1.01 4.04 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
BBB 2.25 5.62 18.52 0.00 0.00 2.63
BB 3.33 10.00 100.00 0.00 1.12 2.79
B 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.00
CCC/C 33.33 33.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
N.A.--Not available. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

The Default Tally Rose To Eight

There were eight defaults in 2024, up from four in 2023 (see tables 10 and 11 for itemized public defaults). Historically, among investment-grade ratings ('BBB-' or higher), defaults are rare (see charts 2 and 3). The highest annual number of nonhousing investment-grade defaults was four, in 2012. For housing, out of the past six years, there was only one year with any investment-grade defaults (seven), and that was 2020 when the financial operations of certain housing sectors were hit particularly hard by COVID-19. The annual average number of investment-grade defaults are 0.4 for nonhousing, and 0.5 for housing.

In USPF, defaults tend to stem from specific crises. From 2012 to 2017, there were 66 nonhousing defaults. Almost half (31) of these were related to Puerto Rico (five in 2015, 13 in 2016, and 14 in 2017).

Chart 2

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Chart 3

image

l generally low on a comparative basis (see table 4). There were defaults in five sectors in 2024, local government (which includes tax secured and appropriations backed debt), higher education, health care, charter schools, and housing. Even under the most adverse credit conditions, the maximum default rate across all sectors of USPF has never breached 1%.

For more details on default rates by sector, please refer to tables 13-23.

Table 4

USPF default statistics by sector
Default rate (%)
2024 # 2024 Mean Median Max Max year
Tax secured 1 0.01 0.007 0.00 0.07 1994
Appropriation 0 0.00 0.030 0.00 0.22 2017
Utility 0 0.00 0.024 0.00 0.16 2004
Higher education 2 0.25 0.045 0.00 0.36 2014
Health care 2 0.46 0.111 0.00 0.63 1992
Transportation 0 0.00 0.052 0.00 0.53 2001
Charter schools 1 0.29 0.109 0.00 0.60 2023
Non-housing 6 0.03 0.026 0.02 0.08 2017
Housing 2 0.09 0.086 0.04 0.63 1991
Total USPF 8 0.03 0.039 0.03 0.22 1991
Revenue includes everything except tax-secured, appropriation and housing. Mean and median figures represent 1986 through 2024. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Chart 4

image

Transition Rates Remain Highly Stable

This study's transition analysis reveals the degree to which ratings change over time. In the transition tables, the intersection of a row and column of the same rating shows the percentage of that rating that is the same at the start and end of the period. If ratings never changed, 100% would appear along the diagonal in the table. Movement toward the left shows the percentage of ratings that were raised, and movement toward the right indicates ratings that were lowered, withdrawn or that defaulted. (For more details, please refer to tables 24-28, 41, and 43-45.)

For example, 0.46% of 'AAA' ratings were lowered in 2024, all falling to 'AA' (see table 5). At the other end of the scale, 'CCC'/'C' ratings had a default rate of 26.3%, compared with the historical average of just under 20% (see table 6). The percentages of ratings that were raised or lowered into other rating categories can be computed by adding the values to the left or right, respectively, of the intersection of the row and column for each rating.

For instance, each year, on average, 5.9% of 'BBB' ratings were raised (0.1% to the 'AA' category and 5.8% to the 'A' category) and 1.4% were lowered (1.2% to 'BB', 0.15% to 'B', 0.09% to 'CCC'/'C', and 0.01% to 'D'). Ratings generally moved higher in all rating categories except the two highest, where upgrades are difficult if not impossible to achieve, and the lowest, where there is usually a strong possibility of default.

Table 5

USPF 2024 one-year transition rates by category (%)
From/to AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
AAA 97.63 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91
AA 0.26 94.33 0.75 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.65
A 0.00 1.90 93.19 0.67 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.01 4.17
BBB 0.00 0.00 5.38 88.21 2.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 4.19
BB 0.00 0.29 0.29 4.62 86.71 2.02 0.00 0.58 5.49
B 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38 14.29 78.57 0.00 0.00 4.76
CCC/C 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26 52.63 26.32 15.79
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Stability has been a hallmark of USPF ratings since 1986, particularly for nonhousing sectors. At the 'AAA' level, for example, on average 97.2% of ratings remain at 'AAA' one year later (see tables 6 and 27). Likewise, some ratings in the 'AA' category shift down slightly in one year, but 94% remain in that category or move higher one year later. Meanwhile, 'A', 'BBB', and 'BB' category ratings tend to move up more often than down within one year. When defaults occur, they typically don't appear until the 'B' and lower rating categories.

Table 6

USPF average one year transition rates (1986 - 2024) (%)*
Rating AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
AAA 97.24 0.98 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.74
AA 0.55 93.99 1.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.38
A 0.01 2.67 91.43 0.83 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 5.00
BBB 0.00 0.13 5.75 86.30 1.19 0.15 0.09 0.01 6.39
BB 0.00 0.02 0.43 5.74 81.67 2.78 1.15 0.30 7.91
B 0.00 0.10 0.48 2.21 7.31 70.48 5.77 1.73 11.92
CCC/C 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.88 1.32 5.92 55.26 19.96 15.57
*Excludes housing. NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Examining rating transitions by modifier (the plus [+] or minus [-] after the rating) provides more evidence of upward rating movement (see table 7). Ratings in the 'AA' category are not as likely to be raised to 'AAA' as they are to move to a lower rating category, but 'AA' ratings are raised more frequently than they are lowered. For nonhousing 'AA' ratings, an average of 3.35% are raised to 'AA+' within one year, while just 1.45% are lowered to 'AA-'. On average, 4.7% of 'A' nonhousing ratings are raised to 'A+', compared with 1.6% that are lowered to 'A-'.

Table 7

Average one-year transition rates by modifier (1986 - 2024) (%)*
Rating AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C D NR
AAA 97.24 0.81 0.14 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.74
AA+ 2.24 91.99 1.15 0.15 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.39
AA 0.26 3.35 90.10 1.45 0.22 0.08 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.50
AA- 0.05 0.45 4.16 88.92 1.71 0.33 0.07 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.28
A+ 0.02 0.08 0.69 4.12 88.78 1.48 0.39 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.29
A 0.00 0.02 0.21 0.95 4.73 86.25 1.58 0.42 0.13 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.54
A- 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.68 1.83 6.60 82.46 1.91 0.58 0.24 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 5.46
BBB+ 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.16 0.96 2.12 6.92 79.87 2.82 0.54 0.12 0.13 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.00 6.15
BBB 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.37 1.16 1.67 5.11 81.88 2.01 0.37 0.29 0.08 0.02 0.07 0.04 0.07 0.00 6.76
BBB- 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.20 1.32 1.41 5.12 80.93 2.68 1.10 0.39 0.05 0.24 0.07 0.16 0.04 6.15
BB+ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.45 0.24 0.49 1.39 6.08 75.29 5.63 1.79 0.45 0.33 0.24 0.24 0.08 7.22
BB 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.14 0.47 1.21 2.51 4.28 75.00 3.54 1.16 1.77 0.28 1.40 0.09 8.05
BB- 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.43 1.72 2.15 5.60 66.71 3.16 2.15 2.30 3.59 1.72 9.90
B+ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.72 0.36 0.72 5.80 65.22 6.52 2.54 4.35 0.72 12.68
B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.39 1.77 0.98 1.38 5.30 2.95 3.34 60.71 4.32 5.70 2.55 10.02
B- 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.00 0.00 0.39 1.18 0.39 1.18 1.57 1.18 5.10 64.31 7.45 1.18 14.90
CCC/C 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.66 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.66 0.00 1.10 0.22 1.75 2.19 1.97 55.26 19.96 15.57
*Excludes housing. NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

For housing bonds, movement is less favorable but still positive, with an average of 2.9% of 'AA' ratings raised to 'AA+' within one year and 2% lowered to 'AA-' (see table 8). For 'A' ratings, an average of 3.3% are raised to 'A+' and 1.6% are lowered to 'A-'.

Table 8

Housing average one-year issue transition rates by modifier (1986 - 2024) (%)
Rating AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C D NR
AAA 87.83 3.21 0.38 0.12 0.03 0.12 0.06 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 8.07
AA+ 0.47 89.50 0.81 0.60 0.03 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 8.42
AA 1.00 2.88 82.76 1.96 0.50 0.46 0.49 0.03 0.09 0.12 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 9.60
AA- 0.55 0.19 3.72 79.69 2.11 2.73 0.38 0.11 0.05 0.14 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.02 10.22
A+ 0.82 0.43 1.71 3.45 80.53 1.06 0.58 0.45 0.06 0.23 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 10.55
A 1.28 0.08 0.58 0.74 3.34 77.50 1.64 0.55 1.19 1.12 0.22 0.47 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.00 0.06 0.02 11.05
A- 0.55 0.04 0.43 0.24 1.26 4.45 71.00 1.69 3.97 1.42 0.39 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.20 0.24 0.20 13.03
BBB+ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.48 2.17 4.69 70.40 2.53 1.32 2.77 1.44 0.48 0.00 0.72 0.12 0.00 0.24 12.39
BBB 0.15 0.00 0.08 0.15 1.00 1.84 3.99 2.92 68.15 1.84 1.77 5.07 0.84 0.46 0.77 0.15 0.77 0.15 9.90
BBB- 0.00 0.11 0.34 0.00 0.45 1.80 1.69 1.46 3.15 71.01 1.57 2.25 1.35 0.56 0.34 0.34 1.24 0.45 11.91
BB+ 0.00 1.83 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.61 2.14 2.75 1.83 55.96 7.03 3.36 1.22 3.98 1.53 3.06 0.00 14.37
BB 0.19 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.38 0.19 0.94 2.25 2.81 1.50 55.91 2.25 2.25 8.63 0.38 3.75 3.56 14.26
BB- 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.00 0.00 1.90 46.67 9.52 5.71 2.86 7.62 0.95 23.81
B+ 0.00 2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37 0.00 2.74 0.00 5.48 49.32 8.22 1.37 8.22 4.11 16.44
B 0.00 0.31 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63 2.52 0.31 0.00 65.72 1.89 8.81 2.20 17.30
B- 0.00 2.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.08 0.00 1.04 0.00 67.71 15.63 1.04 9.38
CCC/C 0.31 0.62 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.31 0.62 0.00 0.92 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 56.92 13.85 25.23
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Historical Default Counts

Default counts among USPF bonds rated by S&P Global Ratings from 1986 to 2024 range from none (in nine of these years) to a high of 18 (in 2017) for nonhousing, and from none (in 11 years) to 18 (in 1991) for housing. Of the 147 rated nonhousing defaults in this study, 93% were rated speculative grade ('BB+' or lower) before they defaulted.

There was one bond rated 'AAA' before it defaulted: In June 2003, a rental facility bond was downgraded to 'D' because of a missed $30,000 transfer from the trust estate. The default was cured in August following receipt of the delayed transfer, and the rating was restored to 'AAA'.

Although defaults are infrequent among rated USPF bonds, certain triggers can lead to multiple defaults. Typically, defaults are telegraphed by a series of downgrades. Detroit; Stockton, Calif.; and Puerto Rico all had multiple downgrades before defaulting on a total of 44 ratings from 2012 to 2023.

In rare cases, housing defaults may unexpectedly occur among higher-rated bonds due to idiosyncratic factors. This was the case in 1991, when 11 bonds with investment-grade ratings at the beginning of the year defaulted because of the failure of a common investment agreement provider, Executive Life Insurance Co.

Chart 5

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Historically, the municipal bond market has typically been self-selecting; issuers with lower credit quality have generally not requested ratings. Consequently, the issuers rated by S&P Global Ratings generally carry investment grade ratings and could be less likely to default. Nonetheless, some securities issued by municipalities can still bear meaningful default risk. While the credit quality of a municipal bond issue may be strong initially, that strength may decline over time. Of the 143 public nonhousing defaults between 1986 and 2024, 88% were initially rated investment-grade, while only 5% were rated investment-grade just prior to defaulting.

The Small Number Of Ratings Limits Analysis

As expected, default rates generally are higher for lower-rated obligors and lower for higher-rated obligors, but we observed a less precise relationship when examining default rates by rating modifier. This is not surprising, given the relatively small number of defaults, and the small number of ratings at certain rating levels. This means that a single event can have a larger effect on average default rates more than it would if there were a larger number of ratings. No nonhousing defaults have occurred at the 'AAA' level, and just one 'AAA' rated housing bond has ever defaulted. There are currently more than 1,400 'AAA' ratings in all of USPF. Significant default volatility becomes evident as we examine smaller subsets of the data.

Relative Ratings Performance

In addition to examining the absolute performance of ratings, we look at their relative performance. One technique we use to measure relative performance is the Gini coefficient. The Gini coefficient--a summary statistic of the Lorenz curve--is a measure of the relative ability of ratings to differentiate risk. We think that comparing Lorenz curves and Gini coefficients is useful. Lorenz curves for USPF--excluding and including housing--closely resemble the ideal Lorenz curves (see charts 6 and 17-23). For more detail regarding the derivation and construction of Lorenz curves and Gini coefficients, see "Comparing transition rates with default rates" in the appendix.

Chart 6 shows the one-year Lorenz curve for nonhousing USPF. The points along the Lorenz curve represent different ratings, starting with the 'CCC' and lower category on the far left. The first point indicates that the one-year transition to default was 64% among 'CCC' and lower ratings. As the ratings rise, the number of defaults decreases, yielding points that continue to climb through the remainder of the speculative-grade scale before turning sharply to the right in the 'BBB' category.

As the curve rises to investment-grade ratings, the vertical distance representing defaults changes little, while the proportion of ratings increases dramatically. A large proportion (88%) of defaults occurred among bonds rated speculative grade at the start of the year (see table 9). Just over 1% of defaults occurred among bonds rated 'A+' or higher, even though they made up 39% of nonhousing ratings.

Chart 6

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Table 9 details the information in the Lorenz chart. The lowest value in the left column shows the cumulative proportion of defaults at the 'CCC'/'C' category, or 64%, and the number to the right is the cumulative proportion of the rated universe, a minuscule 0.09%. This means that 65% of the defaults came from just 0.09% of the ratings, all of which were in the 'CCC' or lower category, and 88% of defaults occur at or below the highest speculative-grade rating, 'BB+', while that population makes up only 1.4% of ratings. Once ratings reach 'A' or below (40.7% of ratings), 98.6% of defaults have occurred.

Table 9

USPF one-year Lorenz Curve values*
Y axis: Cumulative proportion of defaults X axis: Cumulative proportion of ratings
AAA 100.00 100.00
AA+ 100.00 96.40
AA 100.00 89.48
AA- 99.30 76.33
A+ 98.59 60.78
A 98.59 40.71
A- 95.77 22.57
BBB+ 92.25 13.20
BBB 91.55 8.26
BBB- 90.85 3.61
BB+ 88.03 1.38
BB 86.62 0.88
BB- 85.21 0.45
B+ 76.76 0.30
B 75.35 0.25
B- 66.20 0.14
CCC/C 64.08 0.09
*Excludes housing. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Sector Overviews

State government

While the 50 ratings in state government are too small a sample size for meaningful statistical analysis, states--being the constituent entities of the United States--play an important role in our analysis.

State GO (or GO equivalent) ratings have had a very high median rating of at least 'AA' since 1986, and at times as high as 'AA+'. Because the ratings in the sector are few and clustered in the two highest rating categories, we included the rating modifiers in our analysis to better show the ratings distribution.

At the start of 2024, there were 16 'AAA' state GO ratings, the same as last year. The state of Ohio was upgraded to 'AAA' from 'AA+'. The first new 'AAA' rating since Minnesota was upgraded in 2018. The state has since been rated 'AAA'. The last states to lose the 'AAA' rating were North Dakota in 2013 and South Carolina in 2005. Although no U.S. state has been rated speculative-grade-rated, certain U.S. territories have carried speculative grade ratings.

There were three state GO rating actions in 2024, all upgrades, down from five upgrades and no downgrades in 2023, with Alaska and Louisiana rising to 'AA' from 'AA-' and New Hampshire rising to 'AA+' from 'AA'.

Chart 7

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Chart 8

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State and local government

State and local government ratings consist of two rating types, tax secured and appropriation. While the category does include the state GO ratings, there are many more state level ratings that reflect other types of debt issued by states. Because of data constraints, this study does not distinguish local government ratings from state ratings in most instances. There are 17,012 tax-secured and appropriation ratings at the start of 2024. A state or local government may be assigned many ratings, which leads to the high number. Tax-secured and appropriation ratings are approximately 75% local government ratings, with the remainder being state GO and other state-level ratings. To illustrate trends, combining the ratings is sufficient (see chart 9).

These ratings are generally in the 'AA' or 'A' categories. The number of ratings held steady at around 4,000 in the early 1990s, then rose to 10,000 in 2009, before spiking in 2010, and continuing to rise to its current level. 'AAA' ratings made up 5% of state and local government ratings at the start of 2023--the highest percentage to start a year in our dataset. Speculative-grade ratings made up 0.7% of the total. There was one default among state and local governments in 2024.

Chart 9

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Chart 10

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Chart 11

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Chart 12

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Chart 13

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Chart 14

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Chart 15

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Table 10

USPF defaults (1986-2024)* `
--Rating--
Obligor State Category Default date Next to last First
Lassen Comnty Coll Dist CA Appropriation 4/6/1987 CCC BBB-
Devils Lake ND Utility 9/16/1987 B BBB-
New Jersey Econ Dev Auth NJ Transportation 12/3/1987 CC BBB
St Josephs Hosp of Alton IL Health care 5/24/1989 CCC- A
Central Med Ctr Hosp MO Health care 6/7/1989 CCC- BBB-
Metro Hosp PA Health care 12/19/1989 CCC A-
Choate-Symmes Hlth MA Health care 1/8/1990 CCC A-
Colorado Ute Elec Assn CO Utility 7/6/1990 CCC A-
Northwest Gen Hosp MI Health care 10/4/1990 C BBB
Hyde Park Comnty Hosp Ill Cent Comnty Hosp IL Health care 12/17/1991 CCC BBB
Sacred Heart Med Ctr of Chester PA Health care 1/8/1992 CCC A-
Hialeah Hosp Inc FL Health care 2/10/1992 CCC BBB
Jackson Pk Hosp Foundn IL Health care 3/4/1992 CCC A
Jacksonville Gen Hosp & Med Ctr FL Health care 4/2/1992 CCC BBB
James C Guiffre Med Ctr PA Health care 7/2/1992 CCC BBB
New Magma Irr & Dr Dist AZ Tax secured 6/2/1994 C BBB+
Parkview Hosp OH Health care 10/13/1994 C A-
Central Arizona Irr & Dr Dist AZ Tax secured 12/2/1994 C BBB
Orange Cnty CA Tax secured 12/8/1994 CCC AA-
Michigan Hlth Care Corp MI Health care 9/20/1995 CCC BB
Logan Gen Hosp WV Health care 2/3/1999 CCC BBB
Graduate Hlth Sys Obligated Group PA Health care 1/4/2000 CCC A
South Fulton Med Ctr GA Health care 4/27/2000 CCC BBB+
Bradford Coll MA Higher education 11/2/2000 CCC BBB-
Granada Hills Comnty Hosp CA Health care 5/14/2001 CCC BBB-
Crouse Hlth Hosp NY Health care 7/3/2001 CCC BBB
Spokane Downtown Fdn WA Transportation 8/9/2001 CCC BBB-
Oregon Coast Aquarium OR Higher education 10/7/2002 CCC BBB-
Illinois IL Appropriation 2/4/2003 A A-
Mercy Hospital and Medical Center IL Health care 1/5/2004 CCC A
St Paul Port Auth MN Utility 12/2/2004 CCC A
St. Paul Hsg & Redev Auth MN Utility 12/2/2004 CCC A
Kerr Cnty TX Appropriation 3/14/2005 CC A-
Massachusetts Port Auth MA Transportation 1/4/2006 CCC- BBB+
North Oakland Med Ctr MI Health care 3/31/2008 B BBB
Jefferson Cnty AL Utility 4/1/2008 CCC A+
Jefferson County AL Tax secured 9/24/2008 B AA-
Pascack Vy Hosp NJ Health care 9/30/2008 CC A
Presidio Cnty TX Tax secured 12/11/2008 BBB- BBB-
Connector 2000 Assn Inc SC Transportation 1/11/2010 C BBB-
Valley Hlth Sys CA Health care 6/4/2010 C BBB-
Xenia Rural Water District IA Utility 7/8/2010 BB BBB
Northern Berkshire Healthcare MA Health care 6/20/2011 CCC BBB-
Santa Rosa Bay Bridge Auth FL Transportation 7/26/2011 CC BBB-
Texas Midwest Pub Fac Corp TX Appropriation 10/10/2011 CC BB
Greater Wenatchee Regl Events Cnt Pub Facs Dist WA Tax secured 12/2/2011 CCC A-
Jones Cnty TX Appropriation 12/8/2011 CC A-
Southern Montana Elec Generation & Transmission Co-op MT Utility 1/24/2012 CC BBB
Stockton CA Tax secured 3/2/2012 CC A+
Moberly MO Appropriation 3/22/2012 CC A-
Moberly MO Appropriation 3/22/2012 CC A-
Poudre Tech Metro Dist CO Tax secured 3/22/2012 A- A-
Evergreen Country Day School CO Higher education 3/27/2012 CCC BB
Jefferson County AL Tax secured 4/4/2012 C C
Capital Proj Fin Auth FL Higher education 7/13/2012 C BBB
Stockton CA Tax secured 9/4/2012 C AA
Westerly Hosp RI Health care 9/7/2012 C BBB+
Southeastern Regl Med Ctr NC Health care 9/28/2012 A A
Jefferson County AL Utility 2/8/2013 C A
Vadnais Hgts MN Appropriation 2/26/2013 CC AA-
Fritch TX Tax secured 5/31/2013 BBB- BBB
Detroit MI Appropriation 6/18/2013 CC BBB
Detroit MI Appropriation 6/18/2013 CC BBB-
Detroit MI Appropriation 6/18/2013 CC BBB-
Detroit MI Appropriation 6/18/2013 CC BBB-
Detroit MI Appropriation 6/18/2013 CC BBB-
Riverbank Redev Agy CA Tax secured 8/8/2013 CC BBB
Riverbank Redev Agy CA Tax secured 8/8/2013 CC BBB
Stockton CA Appropriation 9/3/2013 C A
Stockton CA Appropriation 9/3/2013 C A
Bradford Academy MI Charter school 9/20/2013 CCC+ BBB-
Detroit MI Tax secured 10/2/2013 C BBB
Lombard Vill IL APPROP 1/6/2014 CC AA-
Boston Biomedical Research Inst MA Higher education 4/17/2014 CC BBB-
North Star Charter School ID Charter school 6/2/2014 C BB
Please Touch Museum PA Higher education 6/30/2014 CC BBB-
Great Lakes Water Authority MI Utility 9/4/2014 CC A+
Great Lakes Water Authority MI Utility 9/4/2014 CC A
Great Lakes Water Authority MI Utility 9/4/2014 CC A+
Thomas Jefferson School of Law CA Higher education 11/5/2014 CC BB+
Madison Cnty MS Tax secured 5/6/2015 CC A
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 8/3/2015 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 8/3/2015 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 8/3/2015 CC BBB-
Dowling Coll NY Higher education 8/7/2015 B- BBB
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 8/11/2015 CC BBB-
Charter School of Boynton Beach FL Charter school 8/18/2015 CC BBB-
Stockton CA Appropriation 9/1/2015 CC A
Glendale AZ Utility 10/5/2015 CCC A+
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 1/5/2016 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 1/5/2016 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 1/5/2016 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico Infrastructure Fing Auth PR Tax secured 1/5/2016 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 1/5/2016 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 1/5/2016 CC BB
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 1/5/2016 CC BBB-
Oconee Regl Med Ctr GA Health care 6/13/2016 CC BBB
Puerto Rico Elec Pwr Auth PR Utility 6/30/2016 CC A
Puerto Rico PR Tax secured 7/7/2016 CC A
Puerto Rico Hwy & Transp Auth PR Tax secured 7/12/2016 CC A-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 7/19/2016 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 9/22/2016 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 9/22/2016 CC BB
Allen Academy MI Appropriation 1/11/2017 CC BB+
Willacy Cnty Local Govt Corp TX Appropriation 4/12/2017 CC BBB
Puerto Rico Sales Tax Fincg Corp PR Tax secured 6/6/2017 CC A+
Puerto Rico Sales Tax Fincg Corp PR Tax secured 6/13/2017 CC A+
Puerto Rico Hwy & Transp Auth PR Tax secured 7/31/2017 CC A
Puerto Rico Hwy & Transp Auth PR Tax secured 7/31/2017 CC A
Puerto Rico Indl Dev Co PR Tax secured 7/31/2017 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico Hwy & Transp Auth PR Tax secured 7/31/2017 CC A-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 7/31/2017 CC BBB+
Teodoro Moscoso Br PR Tax secured 7/31/2017 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico Conv Ctr Dist Auth PR Tax secured 7/31/2017 CC BBB+
Puerto Rico Indl Tourist Educl Med Environ Cntl Facs Fincg Auth PR Appropriation 7/31/2017 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico PR Appropriation 7/31/2017 CC BBB-
San Luis Facility Development Corp. AZ Appropriation 10/13/2017 BB- BBB
San Luis Facility Development Corp. AZ Appropriation 10/13/2017 BB- BBB
Puerto Rico Employees Retirement Sys PR Appropriation 12/22/2017 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico Employees Retirement Sys PR Appropriation 12/22/2017 CC BBB-
Puerto Rico Employees Retirement Sys PR Appropriation 12/22/2017 CC BBB-
Platte Cnty MO Appropriation 12/4/2018 CC AA-
STRIDE Acad MN Appropriation 4/1/2019 CC BB-
TC3 Foundn Inc NY Higher education 10/15/2019 CC BBB-
Plymouth Educl Ctr Charter Sch MI Charter school 11/1/2019 CC BBB-
Provident Oklahoma Education Resources Inc LA Higher education 8/4/2020 CC BBB-
Children of Promise Preparatory Academy CA Appropriation 5/21/2021 CC BB+
Texas Stud Hsg Corp TX Higher education 10/28/2021 CCC BBB-
Brazos Elec Pwr Coop TX Utility 3/18/2022 CCC A-
National Campus & Community Dev Corp TX Higher education 7/7/2022 CCC BBB-
Beverly Comnty Hosp Assoc CA Health care 4/27/2023 CC BBB-
Summit Academy MI Charter school 5/1/2023 CC BB+
Paradise Redevelopment Agency CA Tax secured 6/1/2023 CC BBB+
Pointe Schools AZ Charter school 7/10/2023 CC BBB-
Beech International LLC PA Higher education 6/18/2024 CC BBB-
Clyde TX Tax secured 8/16/2024 A- A
Jackson Hospital & Clinic AL Health care 9/4/2024 CC A
Reading Hlth Sys PA Health care 9/27/2024 CC A
Edkey Inc. AZ Charter school 12/5/2024 B+ BB+
*Excludes housing. Defaults with confidential ratings in their rating histories are excluded. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 11

USPF housing defaults (1986-2024)
--Rating--
Obligor State Default date Next to last First
Pines of Yellow Creek WY 12/2/1987 CC AAA
St Louis Land Clear Redev Auth MO 3/18/1988 AA+ AA+
El Paso Hsg Fin Corp TX 5/2/1991 CC AAA
Nebraska Invest Fin Auth NE 5/2/1991 CC AAA
Nebraska Invest Fin Auth NE 5/2/1991 CC AAA
Adams Cnty CO 5/2/1991 CC AAA
El Paso Hsg Fin Corp TX 5/2/1991 CC A
Midland Cnty Hsg Fin Corp TX 6/4/1991 CC A+
Tucson Indl Dev Auth AZ 6/6/1991 CCC AAA
Tucson Indl Dev Auth AZ 6/6/1991 CCC AAA
Simi Valley CA 8/6/1991 CC AAA
Simi Valley CA 8/6/1991 CC AAA
St. Paul Hsg & Redev Auth MN 9/3/1991 CCC AAA
Southeast Texas Hsg Fin Corp TX 9/3/1991 CC AAA
St. Paul Hsg & Redev Auth MN 9/3/1991 CCC AAA
Hlth Educl & Hsg Fac Brd of Memphis TN 9/17/1991 CC AAA
Hlth Educl & Hsg Fac Brd of Memphis TN 9/17/1991 CC A
Northern California Home Mtg Fin Auth CA 10/1/1991 CC AA-
Louisiana Agricultural Fin Auth LA 10/2/1991 CC AAA
Louisiana Agricultural Fin Auth LA 10/2/1991 CC AAA
El Paso Cnty CO 3/16/1992 B A+
Jefferson Cnty AL 3/2/1993 CCC A+
Aurora CO 9/2/1993 CCC A
El Paso Cnty CO 9/21/1994 CCC AA
Louisiana Hsg Fin Agy LA 3/30/1995 CC A
Los Angeles Hsg Auth CA 6/3/1996 CCC A
Windsor Hsg Foundn MN 1/28/1998 NR BBB
Windsor Hsg Foundn MN 1/28/1998 NR A
Louisville & Jefferson Cnty Metro Govt KY 11/14/1998 CC A-
Radcliff Hsg Auth KY 11/14/1998 CC A-
Falls Twp Hosp Auth PA 2/2/1999 CCC AAA
Boulder Cnty CO 11/1/1999 CC A
Blackwater Hsg Corp. FL 9/6/2001 CC BBB
Emerald Coast Hsg Corp FL 1/8/2002 CCC BBB
Emerald Coast Hsg Corp FL 1/8/2002 B A
Patten Towers L.P. II TN 8/1/2002 C BBB
Patten Towers L.P. II TN 8/1/2002 CC A-
Indianapolis IN 11/11/2002 CCC A
Indianapolis IN 11/11/2002 CCC- BBB
AOF/DFW Affordable Hsg Corp TX 1/2/2003 CCC BB-
Austin Hsg Fin Corp TX 1/8/2003 CC BBB
Austin Hsg Fin Corp TX 1/8/2003 CCC A
Birmingham AL 1/30/2003 CCC- BBB
Wichita KS 6/23/2003 AAA AAA
Mercy Hsg AZ 8/19/2004 B A
Mercy Hsg AZ 8/19/2004 CCC BBB
Texas St Affordable Hsg Corp TX 10/8/2004 CC BBB-
Texas St Affordable Hsg Corp TX 10/8/2004 C BB
Harris Cnty Hsg Fin Corp TX 4/11/2005 B BBB
Harris Cnty Hsg Fin Corp TX 4/11/2005 CCC BB
Raleigh Housing Authority NC 6/10/2005 CC A-
American Opportunity for Hsg TX 9/22/2005 C BBB-
American Opportunity for Hsg TX 9/22/2005 C BB
De Kalb Cnty Hsg Auth GA 10/20/2005 C BBB
Shelby Cnty Hlth Ed & Hsg Fac Brd TN 1/13/2006 CCC A
Liberty Hsg Dev Corp NY 3/20/2006 AA- AAA
American Hsg Fndn TX 3/28/2006 C BBB-
St. Louis Indl Dev Auth MO 4/3/2007 C BBB+
St Cloud Hsg & Redev Auth MN 5/29/2007 B BBB
Little Rock Fam Hsg LLC AR 10/11/2007 BB A-
South Texas Aff Hsg Corp TX 9/9/2008 C BB
Harris Cnty Hsg Fin Corp TX 3/3/2009 CCC A
American Opportunity for Hsg TX 3/6/2009 C A-
South Texas Aff Hsg Corp TX 3/12/2009 C BBB-
American Hsg Fndn TX 5/20/2011 C A
American Opportunity Foundn/Bexar Affordable Hsg Corp TX 10/21/2013 B BBB-
Candler Vista Apartments, L.P. GA 3/25/2015 AA+ AAA
California Rur Home Mtg Fin Auth Homebuyer Fund CA 12/31/2015 CC AA
California Rur Home Mtg Fin Auth Homebuyer Fund CA 12/31/2015 CC A
Global Ministries Fellowship TN 6/10/2016 CCC+ A
LEDAHF-East Cleveland LLC OH 9/1/2017 B- A-
LEDAHF-East Cleveland LLC OH 9/1/2017 B- BBB
Better Housing Foundation OH 6/10/2019 CCC- BBB
Better Housing Foundation OH 6/10/2019 CCC- BBB-
Better Housing Foundation OH 6/10/2019 CCC- A-
Better Housing Foundation OH 6/10/2019 CCC- BBB
BHF Chicago Housing Group C LLC IL 6/10/2019 CCC- A-
BHF Chicago Housing Group C LLC IL 6/10/2019 CCC- A-
BHF Chicago Housing Group C LLC IL 6/10/2019 CCC- BBB-
Glen Hope Harbor TX 2/11/2020 CCC A
Glen Hope Harbor TX 2/11/2020 CCC A
Columbus Downtwn Dev Auth GA 6/2/2020 CC A-
Leading Life Senior Living, Inc. TX 7/1/2020 CC A+
Leading Life Senior Living, Inc. TX 7/1/2020 CC A+
Leading Life Senior Living, Inc. TX 7/1/2020 CC BBB
AE Woodland Towers LLC MI 7/2/2020 CC A+
AE Woodland Towers LLC MI 7/2/2020 CC A+
AE Woodland Towers LLC MI 7/2/2020 CC BBB
American Eagle Delaware Holding Company LLC MI 7/2/2020 CC BBB+
American Eagle Delaware Holding Company LLC MI 7/2/2020 CC BBB+
American Eagle Delaware Holding Company LLC MI 7/2/2020 CC BBB-
Pure Charity Fund OH 3/3/2021 CCC BBB+
Pure Charity Fund OH 3/3/2021 CCC BBB
H-Bay Ministries, Inc. TX 7/7/2021 CC A-
H-Bay Ministries, Inc. TX 7/7/2021 CC A-
H-Bay Ministries, Inc. TX 7/7/2021 CC BBB
Great Lakes Senior Living Communities IL 3/14/2024 CCC- BBB
Great Lakes Senior Living Communities IL 3/14/2024 CCC- BB+
Defaults with confidential ratings in their rating histories are excluded. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 12

USPF annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Unrated Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 7624.0 7548.0 76.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 7898.0 7807.0 91.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
1988 7997.0 7890.0 107.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 8298.0 8185.0 113.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
1990 8366.0 8236.0 130.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
1991 8808.0 8637.0 171.0 19.0 0.0 19.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 11.1
1992 9184.0 9018.0 166.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
1993 9490.0 9353.0 137.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
1994¶ 9375.0 9247.0 128.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
1995 9223.0 9109.0 114.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
1996 8082.0 7997.0 85.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
1997 8050.0 7971.0 79.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998# 8618.0 8548.0 70.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
1999 9435.0 9362.0 73.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
2000 10037.0 9957.0 80.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
2001 10933.0 10836.0 97.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
2002 11973.0 11869.0 104.0 7.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
2003 12936.0 12809.0 127.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
2004 13852.0 13684.0 168.0 7.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
2005 14289.0 14129.0 160.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
2006 14850.0 14656.0 194.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
2007 15533.0 15342.0 191.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
2008 16191.0 15989.0 202.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
2009 17370.0 17170.0 200.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
2010 19237.0 19026.0 211.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
2011 20388.0 20113.0 275.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
2012 21149.0 20870.0 279.0 11.0 4.0 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
2013 21987.0 21692.0 295.0 16.0 1.0 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.1
2014 22573.0 22230.0 343.0 8.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
2015 23112.0 22728.0 384.0 12.0 2.0 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.6
2016 23647.0 23275.0 372.0 15.0 1.0 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.8
2017 23903.0 23497.0 406.0 20.0 2.0 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.4
2018 23844.0 23440.0 404.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 23811.0 23409.0 402.0 11.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
2020 23976.0 23572.0 404.0 13.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
2021 23936.0 23471.0 465.0 8.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
2022 23887.0 23451.0 436.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
2023 23579.0 23155.0 424.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
2024 23478.0 23071.0 407.0 8.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
Mean 6.2 0.9 5.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5
Median 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
Standard deviation 5.1 1.4 4.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 20.0 7.0 19.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.1
¶Orange County, Calif., defaulted the same year we assigned the initial rating. #Windsor Housing Foundation defaulted on two bonds in 1998 after the rating was withdrawn. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 13

USPF annual default summary, excluding housing
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Unrated Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 5031.0 4956.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 5192.0 5111.0 81.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
1988 5168.0 5088.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 5310.0 5229.0 81.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.7
1990 5601.0 5526.0 75.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.0
1991 5958.0 5867.0 91.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
1992 6399.0 6304.0 95.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.3
1993 6715.0 6632.0 83.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994¶ 6765.0 6677.0 88.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
1995 6575.0 6491.0 84.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
1996 5665.0 5598.0 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 5494.0 5430.0 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 5929.0 5871.0 58.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 6637.0 6574.0 63.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
2000 7023.0 6957.0 66.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
2001 7631.0 7562.0 69.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
2002 8404.0 8328.0 76.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
2003 9140.0 9055.0 85.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 10027.0 9913.0 114.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
2005 10576.0 10470.0 106.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
2006 11292.0 11155.0 137.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
2007 12081.0 11945.0 136.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 12793.0 12641.0 152.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
2009 13914.0 13763.0 151.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 15924.0 15767.0 157.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
2011 17476.0 17302.0 174.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
2012 18352.0 18155.0 197.0 11.0 4.0 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
2013 19348.0 19126.0 222.0 15.0 1.0 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3
2014 20089.0 19813.0 276.0 8.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
2015 20726.0 20397.0 329.0 9.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
2016 21307.0 20977.0 330.0 14.0 0.0 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.2
2017 21659.0 21287.0 372.0 18.0 0.0 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
2018 21589.0 21233.0 356.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 21573.0 21225.0 348.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
2020 21750.0 21409.0 341.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
2021 21694.0 21310.0 384.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
2022 21644.0 21263.0 381.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
2023 21326.0 20946.0 380.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
2024 21148.0 20779.0 369.0 6.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
Mean 3.6 0.4 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
Median 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
Standard deviation 4.4 0.9 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 18.0 4.0 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3
Orange County, Calif., defaulted the same year we assigned the initial rating. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 14

Tax secured annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Unrated Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 2259.0 2234.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 2385.0 2364.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1988 2378.0 2360.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 2452.0 2437.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 2606.0 2593.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1991 2751.0 2730.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1992 2908.0 2883.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 2999.0 2976.0 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 2960.0 2938.0 22.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.1
1995 2874.0 2856.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 2501.0 2487.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 2420.0 2403.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998# 2623.0 2612.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 2990.0 2978.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 3125.0 3113.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 3456.0 3443.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 3889.0 3878.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 4286.0 4273.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 4752.0 4737.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 5082.0 5070.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 5444.0 5420.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 5900.0 5874.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 6221.0 6191.0 30.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 6871.0 6844.0 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 8464.0 8442.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 9799.0 9757.0 42.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 10438.0 10378.0 60.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
2013 11101.0 11039.0 62.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
2014 11666.0 11609.0 57.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015 12120.0 12048.0 72.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
2016 12488.0 12422.0 66.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
2017 12752.0 12673.0 79.0 8.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.1
2018 12824.0 12753.0 71.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 12858.0 12786.0 72.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 12992.0 12928.0 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 12980.0 12916.0 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022 12945.0 12887.0 58.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 12807.0 12752.0 55.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
2024 12770.0 12725.0 45.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mean 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 1.6 0.6 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 8.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.1

#Windsor Housing Foundation defaulted on two bonds in 1998 after the rating was withdrawn. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 15

Appropriation annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 456.0 450.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 532.0 525.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 14.3
1988 579.0 577.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 678.0 674.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 772.0 769.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1991 912.0 905.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1992 1126.0 1119.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 1318.0 1313.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 1441.0 1434.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 1478.0 1469.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 1268.0 1266.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 1272.0 1271.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 1378.0 1377.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 1514.0 1512.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 1607.0 1604.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 1762.0 1759.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 1927.0 1924.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 2150.0 2147.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 2433.0 2430.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 2615.0 2609.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.7
2006 2882.0 2877.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 3114.0 3111.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 3378.0 3374.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 3680.0 3674.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 3950.0 3933.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 3949.0 3930.0 19.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.3
2012 4049.0 4027.0 22.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
2013 4195.0 4162.0 33.0 8.0 0.0 8.0 0.2 0.0 24.2
2014 4234.0 4197.0 37.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
2015 4379.0 4317.0 62.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.1 0.0 8.1
2016 4550.0 4497.0 53.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 0.2 0.0 17.0
2017 4616.0 4560.0 56.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.2 0.0 17.9
2018 4492.0 4453.0 39.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 4480.0 4440.0 40.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
2020 4507.0 4481.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 4487.0 4457.0 30.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
2022 4463.0 4431.0 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 4347.0 4325.0 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 4242.0 4224.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mean 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.0 0.0 3.2
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 2.5 0.3 2.5 0.1 0.0 6.3
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 10.0 1.0 10.0 0.2 0.0 24.2
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 16

Utility annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 822.0 810.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 811.0 800.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
1988 771.0 764.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 770.0 761.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 785.0 774.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.1
1991 832.0 820.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1992 873.0 861.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 914.0 906.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 910.0 899.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 851.0 837.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 721.0 711.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 696.0 684.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 737.0 726.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 816.0 805.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 869.0 858.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 945.0 935.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 1040.0 1026.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 1130.0 1120.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 1242.0 1228.0 14.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 14.3
2005 1258.0 1254.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 1310.0 1303.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 1369.0 1359.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 1442.0 1433.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
2009 1551.0 1543.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 1695.0 1687.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.5
2011 1878.0 1874.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 1976.0 1972.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 25.0
2013 2142.0 2136.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.7
2014 2244.0 2233.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 27.3
2015 2286.0 2279.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 2332.0 2324.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
2017 2364.0 2355.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 2383.0 2376.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 2385.0 2381.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 2383.0 2377.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 2379.0 2370.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022 2379.0 2370.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
2023 2325.0 2316.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 2292.0 2281.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mean 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 7.2
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.2 0.1 27.3
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 17

Higher education annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 355.0 355.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
1987 374.0 374.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
1988 383.0 382.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 387.0 386.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 401.0 400.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1991 425.0 423.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1992 442.0 440.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 442.0 441.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 450.0 448.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 443.0 443.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
1996 404.0 402.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 400.0 398.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 443.0 441.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 511.0 509.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 575.0 572.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 33.3
2001 599.0 597.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 641.0 639.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 50.0
2003 647.0 645.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 649.0 642.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 675.0 668.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 672.0 662.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 697.0 687.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 715.0 701.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 743.0 729.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 759.0 746.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 777.0 760.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 798.0 779.0 19.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.5
2013 810.0 790.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 828.0 799.0 29.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.3
2015 825.0 794.0 31.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.2
2016 825.0 793.0 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017 823.0 784.0 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 811.0 768.0 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 802.0 757.0 45.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
2020 816.0 762.0 54.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.9
2021 799.0 727.0 72.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
2022 799.0 734.0 65.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
2023 788.0 724.0 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 798.0 733.0 65.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 3.1
Mean 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.3
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.0
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 50.0
N.A.--Not available. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 18

Health care annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 856.0 832.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 814.0 780.0 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1988 796.0 751.0 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 767.0 720.0 47.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.4
1990 784.0 742.0 42.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 4.8
1991 783.0 739.0 44.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.3
1992 792.0 747.0 45.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.6 0.0 11.1
1993 783.0 740.0 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 762.0 718.0 44.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.3
1995 706.0 667.0 39.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.6
1996 604.0 567.0 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 559.0 529.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 592.0 561.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 636.0 601.0 35.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.9
2000 666.0 629.0 37.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.4
2001 678.0 640.0 38.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 2.6
2002 694.0 650.0 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 702.0 649.0 53.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 711.0 645.0 66.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
2005 704.0 636.0 68.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 709.0 638.0 71.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 703.0 639.0 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 711.0 649.0 62.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 3.2
2009 719.0 655.0 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 704.0 633.0 71.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
2011 683.0 618.0 65.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
2012 676.0 616.0 60.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 1.7
2013 659.0 606.0 53.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.9
2014 622.0 569.0 53.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015 585.0 536.0 49.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 555.0 508.0 47.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1
2017 519.0 481.0 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 491.0 460.0 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 466.0 438.0 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 466.0 432.0 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 457.0 421.0 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022 457.0 419.0 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 442.0 404.0 38.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.6
2024 434.0 396.0 38.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.3
Mean 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 1.1 0.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.4
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 5.0 1.0 5.0 0.6 0.2 11.1
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 19

Transportation annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 283.0 275.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 276.0 268.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 12.5
1988 261.0 254.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 256.0 251.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 253.0 248.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1991 255.0 250.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1992 258.0 254.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 259.0 256.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 242.0 240.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 223.0 219.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 167.0 165.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 147.0 145.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 156.0 154.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 170.0 169.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 179.0 179.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
2001 187.0 184.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 33.3
2002 208.0 206.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 217.0 213.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 226.0 218.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 216.0 209.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 233.0 221.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 8.3
2007 241.0 231.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 246.0 237.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 261.0 254.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 265.0 258.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 14.3
2011 270.0 264.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 16.7
2012 270.0 264.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 270.0 265.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 282.0 276.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015 293.0 290.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 296.0 293.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017 303.0 299.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 301.0 297.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 297.0 294.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 304.0 302.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 294.0 289.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022 285.0 280.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 281.0 276.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 270.0 267.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mean 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.6
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 33.3
N.A.--Not available. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 20

Charter schools annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1987 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1988 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1989 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1990 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1991 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1992 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1993 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1994 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1995 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1996 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1997 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1998 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
1999 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A. N.A. N.A.
2000 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
2001 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
2002 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
2003 8.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N.A.
2004 14.0 13.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 26.0 24.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 42.0 34.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 57.0 44.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 80.0 56.0 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 89.0 64.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 87.0 68.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 120.0 99.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 145.0 119.0 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 171.0 128.0 43.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.3
2014 213.0 130.0 83.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.2
2015 238.0 133.0 105.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.0
2016 261.0 140.0 121.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017 282.0 135.0 147.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 287.0 126.0 161.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 285.0 129.0 156.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.6
2020 282.0 127.0 155.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 298.0 130.0 168.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022 316.0 142.0 174.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 336.0 149.0 187.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 1.1
2024 342.0 153.0 189.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.5
Mean 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
Median 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Standard deviation 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 2.3
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 21

Revenue bond annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 2316.0 2272.0 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 2275.0 2222.0 53.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.9
1988 2211.0 2151.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 2180.0 2118.0 62.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
1990 2223.0 2164.0 59.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 5.1
1991 2295.0 2232.0 63.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
1992 2365.0 2302.0 63.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.2 0.0 7.9
1993 2398.0 2343.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 2364.0 2305.0 59.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
1995 2223.0 2166.0 57.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
1996 1896.0 1845.0 51.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 1802.0 1756.0 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 1928.0 1882.0 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 2133.0 2084.0 49.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
2000 2291.0 2240.0 51.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 5.9
2001 2413.0 2360.0 53.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 3.8
2002 2588.0 2526.0 62.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
2003 2704.0 2635.0 69.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 2842.0 2746.0 96.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 3.1
2005 2879.0 2791.0 88.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 2966.0 2858.0 108.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
2007 3067.0 2960.0 107.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 3194.0 3076.0 118.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
2009 3363.0 3245.0 118.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 3510.0 3392.0 118.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
2011 3728.0 3615.0 113.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
2012 3865.0 3750.0 115.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.1 0.0 3.5
2013 4052.0 3925.0 127.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
2014 4189.0 4007.0 182.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 0.2 0.0 3.8
2015 4227.0 4032.0 195.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
2016 4269.0 4058.0 211.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
2017 4291.0 4054.0 237.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 4273.0 4027.0 246.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 4235.0 3999.0 236.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
2020 4251.0 4000.0 251.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
2021 4227.0 3937.0 290.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
2022 4236.0 3945.0 291.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
2023 4172.0 3869.0 303.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
2024 4136.0 3830.0 306.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
Mean 1.8 0.2 1.7 0.1 0.0 1.7
Median 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
Standard deviation 1.7 0.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 1.9
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 7.0 1.0 7.0 0.2 0.0 7.9
Includes utility, higher education, health care, transportation and charter schools. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 22

Housing annual default summary
--Number of obligors-- --Number of defaults-- --Default rate (%)--
All ratings Investment grade Speculative grade Total Investment grade Speculative grade Unrated Overall Investment grade Speculative grade
1986 2593.0 2592.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 2706.0 2696.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1988 2829.0 2802.0 27.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 2988.0 2956.0 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 2765.0 2710.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1991 2850.0 2770.0 80.0 18.0 0.0 18.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 22.5
1992 2785.0 2714.0 71.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
1993 2775.0 2721.0 54.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.7
1994 2610.0 2570.0 40.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
1995 2648.0 2618.0 30.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
1996 2417.0 2399.0 18.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
1997 2556.0 2541.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 2689.0 2677.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 16.7
1999 2798.0 2788.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.0
2000 3014.0 3000.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 3302.0 3274.0 28.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
2002 3569.0 3541.0 28.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.3
2003 3796.0 3754.0 42.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.5
2004 3825.0 3771.0 54.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.6
2005 3713.0 3659.0 54.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 11.1
2006 3558.0 3501.0 57.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5
2007 3452.0 3397.0 55.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
2008 3398.0 3348.0 50.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
2009 3456.0 3407.0 49.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.1
2010 3313.0 3259.0 54.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 2912.0 2811.0 101.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
2012 2797.0 2715.0 82.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 2639.0 2566.0 73.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
2014 2484.0 2417.0 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015 2386.0 2331.0 55.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
2016 2340.0 2298.0 42.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017 2244.0 2210.0 34.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
2018 2255.0 2207.0 48.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2019 2238.0 2184.0 54.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 13.0
2020 2226.0 2163.0 63.0 12.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 7.9
2021 2242.0 2161.0 81.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.2
2022 2243.0 2188.0 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 2253.0 2209.0 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 2330.0 2292.0 38.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.3
Mean 2.5 0.5 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.2
Median 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
Standard deviation 3.6 1.2 3.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 5.4
Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maximum 18.0 7.0 18.0 2.0 0.6 0.3 22.5
*Windsor Housing Foundation defaulted on two bonds in 1998 after the rating was withdrawn. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 23

2024 one-year transition rates by category (%)
From/to AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
USPF
AAA 97.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
AA 0.3 94.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
A 0.0 1.9 93.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
BBB 0.0 0.0 5.4 88.2 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.2
BB 0.0 0.3 0.3 4.6 86.7 2.0 0.0 0.6 5.5
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 14.3 78.6 0.0 0.0 4.8
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 52.6 26.3 15.8
Tax secured
AAA 98.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
AA 0.4 95.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
A 0.0 1.8 94.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
BBB 0.0 0.0 7.6 86.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
BB 0.0 0.0 2.4 14.3 73.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C
Appropriation
AAA 98.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
AA 0.0 90.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
A 0.0 2.5 89.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
BBB 0.0 0.0 10.0 83.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Utility
AAA 96.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
AA 0.7 95.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
A 0.0 0.7 92.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.7 89.5 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C
Housing
AAA 95.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
AA 0.0 94.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
A 0.0 3.2 92.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
BBB 0.0 0.0 17.5 74.6 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 4.8
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.5 18.2 27.3
Higher education
AAA 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA 0.5 97.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
A 0.0 1.6 95.2 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
BBB 0.0 0.0 2.2 91.4 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 87.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 3.7
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 87.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 66.7 0.0
Health care
AAA
AA 0.0 91.7 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
A 0.0 1.0 92.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
BBB 0.0 0.0 2.2 88.8 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
BB 0.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 86.7 6.7 0.0 3.3 0.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 33.3 33.3 0.0
Transportation
AAA 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA 0.0 98.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
A 0.0 5.0 93.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
BBB 0.0 0.0 18.5 81.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Charter schools
AAA
AA
A 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 92.2 2.2 0.0 0.6 3.9
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
CCC/C
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 24

Average one-year transition rates by sector (1986 - 2024) (%)
Rating AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
Tax secured
AAA 97.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
AA 0.7 95.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
A 0.0 2.6 93.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
BBB 0.0 0.2 7.0 86.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.3
BB 0.0 0.0 0.9 11.2 75.6 1.8 1.4 0.0 9.1
B 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.1 11.8 67.2 5.4 1.0 8.8
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 4.5 1.8 2.7 8.2 55.5 14.5 12.7
Appropriation
AAA 92.3 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.1
AA 0.1 90.1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
A 0.0 3.5 87.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
BBB 0.0 0.1 9.9 79.7 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.8
BB 0.0 0.0 2.5 9.3 67.3 2.5 5.8 1.5 11.1
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 3.8 67.9 7.5 5.7 11.3
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.9 4.8 43.8 27.6 21.0
Utility
AAA 96.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
AA 0.9 94.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
A 0.0 2.9 91.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
BBB 0.0 0.0 5.5 85.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.8
BB 0.0 0.0 1.2 14.1 71.4 0.4 2.0 1.6 9.3
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 14.3 64.3 1.8 0.0 16.1
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.0 8.9 69.6 12.5 7.1
Housing
AAA 87.8 3.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
AA 0.7 88.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
A 1.0 3.0 81.4 2.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.2
BBB 0.1 0.3 6.1 74.1 6.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 11.2
BB 0.1 0.8 0.8 5.7 60.7 10.5 3.9 2.1 15.3
B 0.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 3.9 66.5 10.1 2.3 15.6
CCC/C 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.3 56.9 13.8 25.2
Higher education
AAA 97.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
AA 0.4 94.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5
A 0.0 1.3 92.8 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
BBB 0.0 0.1 2.2 90.7 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.2
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 85.4 2.8 0.8 0.3 7.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.9 72.1 7.4 4.4 8.8
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 53.6 32.1 10.7
Health care
AAA
AA 0.0 91.7 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
A 0.0 1.0 92.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
BBB 0.0 0.0 2.2 88.8 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
BB 0.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 86.7 6.7 0.0 3.3 0.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 33.3 33.3 0.0
Transportation
AAA 90.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
AA 0.1 93.9 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
A 0.0 1.7 91.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
BBB 0.0 0.0 4.0 86.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.9
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 75.0 2.7 1.4 0.0 9.5
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 62.5 12.5 0.0 12.5
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 46.7 33.3 13.3
Charter schools
AAA
AA
A 0.0 0.0 87.1 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.2 4.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 91.5 2.1 0.0 0.1 3.7
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 80.6 1.2 1.8 11.5
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 75.0 0.0
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 25a

2024 one-year transition rates by modifier (%)
From/to AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C D NR
USPF*
AAA 98.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
AA+ 1.1 91.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
AA 0.0 2.5 92.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
AA- 0.0 0.0 2.2 90.9 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.5 90.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
A 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.0 89.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 4.8 85.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5.1
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 5.5 82.4 5.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.6 77.7 3.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.9 85.9 4.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.6 5.8 81.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 4.5 89.5 2.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.4 4.8 61.9 9.5 2.4 0.0 0.0 4.8 11.9
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 66.7 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 90.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 37.5 0.0
Tax secured
AAA 98.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
AA+ 1.6 94.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
AA 0.1 2.1 93.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
AA- 0.0 0.0 2.4 91.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1 91.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5
A 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.4 89.9 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 7.5 84.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 4.3
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.4 82.7 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 7.3 9.9 72.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 8.7 10.1 75.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 18.2 4.5 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.2
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 86.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B-
CCC/C
Appropriation
AAA 98.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
AA+ 0.0 87.7 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7
AA 0.0 2.4 88.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
AA- 0.0 0.0 1.7 89.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 85.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
A 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.7 86.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.3 88.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.7 90.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1 3.2 67.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7 83.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB-
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B
B-
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Utility
AAA 96.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
AA+ 2.6 92.9 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
AA 0.0 3.2 92.7 1.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
AA- 0.0 0.0 1.9 91.0 3.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 89.2 5.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
A 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 86.4 4.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 85.0 3.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 80.8 9.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 75.5 7.5 3.8 0.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 4.8 76.2 9.5 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B
B-
CCC/C
Housing
AAA 95.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
AA+ 0.0 94.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3
AA 0.0 0.0 96.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
AA- 0.0 0.0 3.5 92.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 90.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
A 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 9.4 84.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 22.7 68.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 14.8 70.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.9 21.4 57.1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.0 50.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3 0.0 71.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7 0.0 33.3 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.5 18.2 27.3
Higher education
AAA 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA+ 2.3 97.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA 0.0 8.3 90.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
AA- 0.0 0.0 1.1 96.6 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 94.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
A 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 93.5 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 89.3 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 3.5 80.7 10.5 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 88.2 3.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.6 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4 80.8 0.0 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 90.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 62.5 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7 0.0 83.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 66.7 0.0
Health care
AAA
AA+ 0.0 87.5 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA 0.0 0.0 91.9 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA- 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.9 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
A+ 0.0 0.0 1.8 1.8 89.3 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
A 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.7 79.3 10.3 1.7 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 81.1 8.1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.7 13.3 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.8 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.6 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0 16.7 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B
B- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.0 0.0 33.3
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 33.3 33.3 0.0
Transportation
AAA 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA+ 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
AA 0.0 19.2 76.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
AA- 0.0 0.0 11.1 88.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
A+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7 87.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
A 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 85.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3 78.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 30.8 61.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 90.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BB N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
BB- N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
B+ N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
B N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
B- N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Charter schools
AAA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
AA+ N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
AA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
AA- N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
A+ N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
A- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
BBB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 94.6 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
BB+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 88.6 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 92.1 1.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
BB- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.8 8.3 4.2 0.0 0.0 4.2 12.5
B+ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7 50.0 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
B- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CCC/C
*Excludes housing. N/A--Not applicable. NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 26

USPF average transition rates (1986 - 2024) (%)*
Rating AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
One year
AAA 97.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
AA 0.6 94.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
A 0.0 2.7 91.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
BBB 0.0 0.1 5.7 86.3 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.4
BB 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.7 81.7 2.8 1.2 0.3 7.9
B 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 7.3 70.5 5.8 1.7 11.9
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.9 1.3 5.9 55.3 20.0 15.6
Three years
AAA 91.7 2.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
AA 1.7 82.6 2.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
A 0.0 7.3 75.6 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.8
BBB 0.0 0.7 14.2 63.1 2.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 18.7
BB 0.0 0.0 2.2 12.7 54.3 4.9 1.0 1.9 23.1
B 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.7 12.1 36.4 6.0 5.0 32.7
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.7 5.2 5.2 23.2 30.1 31.0
Five years
AAA 86.7 4.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
AA 2.9 72.2 3.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.9
A 0.1 11.0 61.5 2.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 24.4
BBB 0.0 1.3 18.8 45.3 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 30.4
BB 0.0 0.1 4.1 13.9 36.2 4.6 1.0 2.8 37.3
B 0.0 0.1 2.7 7.9 10.8 18.6 4.3 7.4 48.2
CCC/C 0.0 0.5 2.1 6.2 2.4 3.8 12.4 33.3 39.3
Seven years
AAA 82.3 5.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
AA 4.2 62.7 4.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.7
A 0.1 13.8 49.3 2.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 33.6
BBB 0.0 1.9 20.9 31.6 2.8 0.6 0.3 0.5 41.4
BB 0.0 0.6 4.9 13.0 23.7 4.2 0.9 3.6 49.2
B 0.0 0.1 3.7 6.8 7.2 10.1 2.6 8.8 60.5
CCC/C 0.0 1.0 1.5 5.8 2.8 2.3 8.3 35.1 43.4
10 years
AAA 76.6 7.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2
AA 6.2 49.9 3.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.6
A 0.3 16.4 34.3 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 46.3
BBB 0.0 3.2 20.4 17.6 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 55.1
BB 0.0 1.0 5.3 9.3 10.5 3.4 1.1 4.8 64.6
B 0.0 0.8 4.4 3.2 4.9 2.7 1.1 11.1 71.8
CCC/C 0.0 1.4 0.7 4.8 1.7 0.7 4.1 34.0 52.6
15 years
AAA 70.9 9.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.7
AA 10.0 36.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0
A 0.7 19.1 19.8 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 58.4
BBB 0.0 5.1 17.4 7.0 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.8 68.2
BB 0.0 1.4 4.5 5.5 2.4 2.2 0.2 4.3 79.5
B 0.0 1.1 5.1 2.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.4 78.6
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 1.6 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.8 56.3
20 years
AAA 70.4 10.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.9
AA 12.6 30.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 53.9
A 1.3 18.1 12.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 66.9
BBB 0.1 6.2 11.6 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 77.5
BB 0.0 2.0 3.4 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.7 87.2
B 0.0 1.8 0.0 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 11.3 84.7
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.6 57.7
*Excludes housing. NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 27

Housing average transition rates (1986 - 2024) (%)
Rating AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
One year
AAA 87.8 3.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
AA 0.7 88.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
A 1.0 3.0 81.4 2.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.2
BBB 0.1 0.3 6.1 74.1 6.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 11.2
BB 0.1 0.8 0.8 5.7 60.7 10.5 3.9 2.1 15.3
B 0.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 3.9 66.5 10.1 2.3 15.6
CCC/C 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.3 56.9 13.8 25.2
Three years
AAA 65.6 9.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 24.0
AA 1.6 68.1 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.6
A 2.1 6.8 51.8 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 32.3
BBB 0.2 0.7 13.0 40.3 6.7 2.5 1.9 1.8 33.0
BB 0.1 1.2 3.9 9.1 24.8 10.9 7.3 4.1 38.7
B 0.0 1.7 1.3 1.1 5.0 36.0 8.2 6.3 40.5
CCC/C 0.0 0.7 0.7 1.3 3.3 0.7 20.5 21.8 51.2
Five years
AAA 46.7 13.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 39.0
AA 1.8 51.0 3.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.6
A 2.4 8.0 33.4 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 49.0
BBB 0.2 1.2 12.5 23.0 3.8 2.2 2.1 3.0 52.1
BB 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.9 10.4 7.6 3.7 6.0 58.3
B 0.0 1.2 1.8 0.7 3.9 21.2 4.6 7.4 59.1
CCC/C 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.1 3.8 0.0 7.3 26.8 60.2
Seven years
AAA 30.8 14.6 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 53.1
AA 1.8 38.0 3.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 56.0
A 2.0 8.4 21.4 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 62.2
BBB 0.3 1.3 11.8 12.5 1.7 1.7 1.3 3.3 65.9
BB 0.0 0.9 5.7 4.3 3.8 4.3 2.0 6.9 72.1
B 0.0 0.7 2.2 0.7 3.2 14.6 2.7 7.7 68.1
CCC/C 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 2.6 26.9 66.5
10 years
AAA 13.0 13.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 72.0
AA 1.7 23.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 72.0
A 1.6 7.7 10.7 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 76.4
BBB 0.2 1.5 7.2 5.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 3.1 80.5
BB 0.0 1.2 3.2 2.6 1.6 2.4 0.3 7.8 80.8
B 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.8 1.1 8.1 1.4 8.9 77.7
CCC/C 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 27.7 70.9
15 years
AAA 2.8 8.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 88.4
AA 1.0 10.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 87.6
A 1.1 4.8 3.8 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 88.7
BBB 0.0 0.5 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.4 90.9
BB 0.0 0.8 0.6 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 11.0 85.4
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 89.1
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.3 69.7
20 years
AAA 0.6 3.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 95.7
AA 0.8 4.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 95.0
A 0.5 2.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 94.9
BBB 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.7 94.1
BB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.7 13.6 84.7
B 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 87.2
CCC/C 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.2 70.8
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 28

USPF cumulative average default rates by rating category (1986 - 2024)*
(Year) (%)
AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C Investment grade Speculative grade All rated
1 0.00 0.00 0.004 0.010 0.30 1.73 19.96 0.00 1.84 0.03
2 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.05 3.51 27.74 0.01 3.24 0.06
3 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 1.89 5.05 30.46 0.03 4.33 0.09
4 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.23 2.38 6.32 32.32 0.05 5.06 0.11
5 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.34 2.71 7.32 33.51 0.06 5.57 0.14
6 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.43 3.09 8.03 33.99 0.08 6.02 0.16
7 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.52 3.36 8.90 34.50 0.10 6.42 0.19
8 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.60 3.58 9.43 35.05 0.12 6.73 0.21
9 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.67 3.83 10.01 35.64 0.13 7.07 0.23
10 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.73 4.14 10.32 36.31 0.15 7.41 0.24
11 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.79 4.40 10.48 37.02 0.16 7.70 0.26
12 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.84 4.64 10.66 37.80 0.17 7.97 0.28
13 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.88 4.85 10.84 37.80 0.19 8.16 0.29
14 0.00 0.04 0.12 0.93 4.96 10.84 37.80 0.20 8.24 0.31
15 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.96 5.07 10.84 37.80 0.22 8.32 0.32
*Excludes housing. Reran values. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 29

USPF cumulative average default rates by category (1986 - 2024) (%)*
--Time horizon (years)--
Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
AAA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04
A 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.12
BBB 0.01 0.06 0.13 0.23 0.34 0.43 0.52 0.60 0.67 0.73 0.79 0.84 0.88 0.93
BB 0.30 1.05 1.89 2.38 2.71 3.09 3.36 3.58 3.83 4.14 4.40 4.64 4.85 4.96
B 1.73 3.51 5.05 6.32 7.32 8.03 8.90 9.43 10.01 10.32 10.48 10.66 10.84 10.84
CCC/C 19.96 27.74 30.46 32.32 33.51 33.99 34.50 35.05 35.64 36.31 37.02 37.80 37.80 37.80
Investment grade 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.20
Speculative grade 1.84 3.24 4.33 5.06 5.57 6.02 6.42 6.73 7.07 7.41 7.70 7.97 8.16 8.24
All rated 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31
Rating 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
AAA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.14
A 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23
BBB 0.96 0.98 1.00 1.03 1.05 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.13 1.14
BB 5.07 5.20 5.34 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48 5.48
B 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84 10.84
CCC/C 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80
Investment grade 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.33
Speculative grade 8.32 8.42 8.51 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62
All rated 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44
*Excludes housing. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 30

USPF housing cumulative average default rates by category (1986 - 2024) (%)
--Time horizon (years)--
Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
AAA 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
AA 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
A 0.04 0.13 0.24 0.31 0.40 0.49 0.55 0.59 0.62 0.63 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65
BBB 0.26 1.11 1.76 2.29 2.86 3.34 3.68 3.84 3.96 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
BB 2.07 2.91 3.99 4.99 5.80 6.28 6.53 6.53 6.66 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80
B 2.26 4.15 6.10 6.98 7.44 7.93 8.17 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43
CCC/C 13.85 19.25 21.89 23.69 24.87 25.70 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15
Investment grade 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.16 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29
Speculative grade 4.28 6.23 7.82 8.92 9.70 10.23 10.51 10.58 10.65 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73
All rated 0.09 0.17 0.25 0.30 0.36 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46
Rating 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
AAA 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
AA 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
A 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65
BBB 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
BB 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80
B 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43
CCC/C 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15
Investment grade 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29
Speculative grade 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73
All rated 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 31

USPF cumulative average default rates by modifier (1986 - 2024) (%)*
--Time horizon (years)--
Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
AAA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA+ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15
AA- 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.17
A+ 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
A 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28
A- 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.44
BBB+ 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.12 0.19 0.24 0.29 0.33 0.37 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.55 0.58 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64
BBB 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.34 0.40 0.42 0.46 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.59 0.61 0.63 0.65 0.68 0.70 0.71 0.73
BBB- 0.04 0.17 0.37 0.67 0.99 1.30 1.64 1.93 2.17 2.35 2.50 2.67 2.77 2.88 2.97 3.01 3.04 3.06 3.11 3.15 3.18 3.21 3.21 3.21 3.21 3.21 3.21
BB+ 0.08 0.26 0.63 0.89 1.11 1.41 1.67 1.81 2.06 2.51 2.93 3.41 3.55 3.69 3.85 4.03 4.22 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43
BB 0.09 1.23 2.14 2.88 3.31 3.64 4.00 4.38 4.71 4.89 4.98 4.98 5.19 5.19 5.31 5.43 5.56 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70
BB- 1.72 3.25 5.52 6.04 6.42 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.55 7.89 8.26 8.67 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11 9.11
B+ 0.72 2.26 3.08 6.12 7.97 8.95 10.56 11.81 12.53 12.53 13.36 14.30 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27 15.27
B 2.55 4.56 6.20 6.42 6.86 7.32 7.81 8.06 8.59 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86 8.86
B- 1.18 2.78 4.80 6.45 7.75 8.66 9.64 10.16 10.76 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42
CCC/C 19.96 27.74 30.46 32.32 33.51 33.99 34.50 35.05 35.64 36.31 37.02 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80
Investment grade 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.33
Speculative grade 1.84 3.24 4.33 5.06 5.57 6.02 6.42 6.73 7.07 7.41 7.70 7.97 8.16 8.24 8.32 8.42 8.51 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62 8.62
All rated 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44
*Excludes housing. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 32

USPF housing cumulative average default rates by modifier (1986 - 2024) (%)
--Time horizon (years)--
Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
AAA 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
AA+ 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
AA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
AA- 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.10 0.13 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
A+ 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.23 0.27 0.32 0.35 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37
A 0.02 0.06 0.13 0.24 0.39 0.47 0.54 0.61 0.68 0.70 0.71 0.73 0.75 0.75
A- 0.20 0.40 0.64 0.68 0.76 0.93 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05
BBB+ 0.24 0.24 0.63 1.30 1.87 2.31 2.77 3.09 3.25 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42
BBB 0.15 1.25 2.05 2.70 3.61 4.29 4.73 4.91 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10
BBB- 0.45 1.70 2.38 2.61 2.72 2.96 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08
BB+ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
BB 3.56 5.08 6.80 7.97 8.76 9.36 9.56 9.56 9.78 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99
BB- 0.95 0.95 1.99 5.30 7.89 9.31 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93
B+ 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11
B 2.20 4.41 6.32 7.27 7.92 8.58 8.91 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25
B- 1.04 3.24 6.70 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94
CCC/C 13.85 19.25 21.89 23.69 24.87 25.70 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15
Investment grade 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.16 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29
Speculative grade 4.28 6.23 7.82 8.92 9.70 10.23 10.51 10.58 10.65 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73
All rated 0.09 0.17 0.25 0.30 0.36 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46
Rating 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
AAA 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
AA+ 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
AA 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
AA- 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
A+ 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37
A 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75
A- 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05
BBB+ 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42
BBB 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10
BBB- 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08
BB+ 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
BB 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99 9.99
BB- 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93 10.93
B+ 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11
B 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25
B- 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94 7.94
CCC/C 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15
Investment grade 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29
Speculative grade 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73 10.73
All rated 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46

Table 33

USPF static pool default rates (1986 - 2024) (%)*
--Time horizon (years)--
Rating Number of issuers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1986 5,031.0 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.20 0.30 0.30 0.34 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.38 0.40
1987 5,192.0 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.17 0.19 0.29 0.29 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.37 0.39 0.39
1988 5,168.0 0.00 0.06 0.12 0.14 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31
1989 5,310.0 0.06 0.11 0.13 0.21 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30
1990 5,601.0 0.05 0.07 0.16 0.16 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.32
1991 5,958.0 0.02 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.25 0.25
1992 6,399.0 0.08 0.08 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.22
1993 6,715.0 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13
1994 6,765.0 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.19
1995 6,575.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.15 0.15
1996 5,665.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.18 0.18 0.19
1997 5,494.0 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.25
1998 5,929.0 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.25 0.27
1999 6,637.0 0.02 0.06 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.32
2000 7,023.0 0.04 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.21 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.33
2001 7,631.0 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29
2002 8,404.0 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.31
2003 9,140.0 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.30 0.35
2004 10,027.0 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.17 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.28 0.34 0.34
2005 10,576.0 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.26 0.31 0.31 0.31
2006 11,292.0 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.27 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33
2007 12,081.0 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.11 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.39
2008 12,793.0 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.13 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.33 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.43 0.43
2009 13,914.0 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.18 0.22 0.24 0.31 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43
2010 15,924.0 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.18 0.22 0.24 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43
2011 17,476.0 0.03 0.09 0.17 0.21 0.22 0.28 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.42
2012 18,352.0 0.06 0.14 0.18 0.21 0.27 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.41
2013 19,348.0 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.22 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.35 0.37
2014 20,089.0 0.04 0.08 0.14 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.27 0.30
2015 20,726.0 0.04 0.10 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.26
2016 21,307.0 0.07 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.23
2017 21,659.0 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.18
2018 21,589.0 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.10
2019 21,573.0 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.09
2020 21,750.0 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07
2021 21,694.0 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07
2022 21,644.0 0.01 0.03 0.06
2023 21,326.0 0.02 0.05
2024 21,148.0 0.03
Marginal average 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
Cumulative average 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.32
Standard deviation 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08
Median 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.10 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.31
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.13
Maximum 0.08 0.15 0.19 0.22 0.30 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43
*Excludes housing. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 34

USPF static pool default rates by category (1986 - 2024) (%)*
--Time horizon (years)--
Number of issuers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Rating: AAA
1986 53.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1987 52.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1989 52.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1990 58.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1991 63.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1992 61.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1993 64.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 68.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1995 69.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1996 74.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 87.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1998 104.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1999 126.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2000 144.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2001 168.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2002 217.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2003 241.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2004 259.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2005 284.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2006 300.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2007 366.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2008 404.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2009 552.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2010 658.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 712.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2012 707.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2013 724.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2014 765.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2015 880.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2016 916.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 948.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 968.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 1020.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2020 1072.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2021 1072.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2022 1096.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 1102.0 0.00 0.00
2024 1124.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Standard deviation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rating: AA
1986 957.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1987 1026.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 1052.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1989 1128.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1990 1216.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1991 1328.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1992 1373.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1993 1467.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 1484.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
1995 1475.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07
1996 1365.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07
1997 1378.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
1998 1472.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
1999 1595.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
2000 1701.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
2001 2078.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2002 2506.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2003 2720.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2004 3013.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
2005 3107.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
2006 3451.0 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
2007 3724.0 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
2008 3975.0 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
2009 4789.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2010 5988.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07
2011 6831.0 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06
2012 6951.0 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06
2013 7261.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04
2014 7803.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04
2015 8481.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
2016 8750.0 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
2017 8878.0 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
2018 9003.0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
2019 9227.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2020 9402.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2021 9303.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2022 9284.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 9170.0 0.00 0.00
2024 9128.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04
Standard deviation 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
Rating: A
1986 2953.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.17
1987 2980.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.17
1988 2920.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.14
1989 2935.0 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
1990 3069.0 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.16
1991 3174.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.13 0.13
1992 3410.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06
1993 3504.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
1994 3498.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06
1995 3330.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.06
1996 2723.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
1997 2580.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
1998 2811.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
1999 3182.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
2000 3544.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.11
2001 3713.0 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.11
2002 3994.0 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.18
2003 4374.0 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.18 0.25
2004 4739.0 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.17 0.23 0.23
2005 5240.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.17 0.23 0.23 0.23
2006 5511.0 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
2007 5893.0 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.08 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15
2008 6204.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19
2009 6579.0 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17
2010 7668.0 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.16
2011 8417.0 0.02 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19
2012 9057.0 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10
2013 9611.0 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06
2014 9800.0 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05
2015 9635.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03
2016 9945.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03
2017 9985.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03
2018 9802.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04
2019 9586.0 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04
2020 9539.0 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03
2021 9484.0 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03
2022 9458.0 0.00 0.00 0.01
2023 9322.0 0.00 0.01
2024 9420.0 0.01
Marginal average 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Cumulative average 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.13
Standard deviation 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06
Median 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06
Maximum 0.03 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.23 0.23 0.25
Rating: BBB
1986 993.0 0.00 0.30 0.30 0.50 0.50 0.60 0.91 0.91 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.11 1.11
1987 1053.0 0.09 0.09 0.28 0.28 0.38 0.66 0.66 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.85 0.85 0.85
1988 1066.0 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.19 0.38 0.38 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66
1989 1114.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27
1990 1183.0 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42
1991 1302.0 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
1992 1460.0 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27
1993 1597.0 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13
1994 1627.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.25
1995 1617.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.25 0.25
1996 1436.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.35 0.35 0.42
1997 1385.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.22 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.43 0.43 0.51 0.65
1998 1484.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.34 0.34 0.40 0.54 0.61
1999 1671.0 0.00 0.12 0.24 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.42 0.42 0.54 0.66 0.72 0.78
2000 1568.0 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.32 0.32 0.45 0.57 0.64 0.64 0.70
2001 1603.0 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.19 0.19 0.31 0.37 0.44 0.44 0.50 0.56
2002 1611.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.12 0.19 0.25 0.37 0.37 0.43 0.50 0.62
2003 1720.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.12 0.17 0.17 0.29 0.29 0.35 0.41 0.52 0.64
2004 1902.0 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.21 0.26 0.32 0.37 0.47 0.63 0.63
2005 1839.0 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.22 0.27 0.33 0.38 0.44 0.60 0.60 0.60
2006 1893.0 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.16 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.63 0.90 0.90 0.95 0.95
2007 1962.0 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.46 0.56 0.56 0.92 1.27 1.27 1.33 1.33 1.33
2008 2058.0 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.53 0.63 0.63 0.97 1.31 1.31 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36
2009 1843.0 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.65 0.76 0.76 1.25 1.79 1.79 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84
2010 1453.0 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.41 0.55 0.55 1.17 1.93 1.93 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.06 2.13
2011 1342.0 0.00 0.07 0.22 0.37 0.37 1.04 1.94 1.94 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.09 2.24
2012 1440.0 0.07 0.35 0.42 0.69 1.39 2.29 2.29 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.50 2.64
2013 1530.0 0.07 0.13 0.52 1.24 2.09 2.09 2.16 2.16 2.16 2.16 2.29 2.42
2014 1445.0 0.00 0.35 1.11 2.01 2.01 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.15 2.28
2015 1401.0 0.07 0.07 0.43 0.43 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.64 0.79
2016 1366.0 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.29 0.51 0.66
2017 1476.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.20 0.34
2018 1460.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.21 0.34
2019 1392.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.29
2020 1396.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.29
2021 1451.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14
2022 1425.0 0.00 0.00 0.07
2023 1352.0 0.00 0.00
2024 1107.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03
Cumulative average 0.01 0.06 0.13 0.23 0.34 0.43 0.52 0.60 0.67 0.73 0.79 0.84 0.88 0.93 0.96
Standard deviation 0.03 0.09 0.21 0.39 0.50 0.58 0.64 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.75 0.72 0.66 0.57 0.49
Median 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.11 0.21 0.21 0.29 0.31 0.34 0.38 0.42 0.44 0.47 0.57 0.63
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13
Maximum 0.09 0.35 1.11 2.01 2.09 2.29 2.29 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.50 2.64 2.24 2.13
Rating: BB
1986 55.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82
1987 54.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 55.0 0.00 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82
1989 54.0 3.70 3.70 3.70 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56
1990 53.0 0.00 0.00 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89
1991 65.0 0.00 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54
1992 66.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.03 3.03 3.03
1993 56.0 0.00 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79
1994 62.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1995 62.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1996 48.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 43.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1998 37.0 0.00 0.00 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70
1999 42.0 0.00 0.00 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38
2000 46.0 0.00 0.00 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17
2001 49.0 0.00 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04 4.08 4.08 4.08 4.08 4.08
2002 54.0 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 3.70 3.70 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56
2003 62.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.23 3.23 4.84 6.45 6.45 6.45 6.45 6.45 6.45 6.45
2004 81.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.47 2.47 2.47 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70
2005 81.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.23 1.23 1.23 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70
2006 95.0 0.00 0.00 1.05 1.05 1.05 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 3.16 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21
2007 102.0 0.00 0.98 0.98 0.98 1.96 2.94 2.94 2.94 3.92 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 5.88
2008 115.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.87 2.61 3.48 3.48 4.35 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 6.09 6.09
2009 114.0 0.00 0.00 0.88 2.63 3.51 4.39 5.26 6.14 6.14 6.14 6.14 6.14 7.02 7.02 7.89
2010 127.0 0.79 2.36 3.94 9.45 11.02 11.81 12.60 12.60 12.60 12.60 12.60 13.39 13.39 14.17 14.17
2011 132.0 0.00 1.52 8.33 9.85 10.61 11.36 11.36 11.36 11.36 11.36 12.12 12.12 12.88 12.88
2012 145.0 0.00 5.52 7.59 8.28 8.97 8.97 8.97 8.97 8.97 9.66 9.66 10.34 10.34
2013 146.0 0.00 0.68 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.74 4.11
2014 216.0 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.85 1.85 2.31 2.31 2.31 2.31 3.24 4.17
2015 269.0 1.49 4.83 8.18 8.18 8.18 8.18 8.18 8.18 8.55 9.29
2016 237.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.42 0.84 1.69
2017 286.0 0.70 0.70 1.40 1.40 1.75 1.75 2.45 3.15
2018 279.0 0.00 0.72 0.72 1.08 1.08 1.79 2.51
2019 281.0 0.36 0.71 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.78
2020 293.0 0.00 0.34 0.34 0.68 1.37
2021 330.0 0.00 0.00 0.61 1.52
2022 336.0 0.00 0.60 1.79
2023 338.0 0.00 1.18
2024 331.0 0.60
Marginal average 0.30 0.75 0.85 0.50 0.34 0.39 0.27 0.23 0.26 0.32 0.27 0.25 0.22 0.12 0.12
Cumulative average 0.30 1.05 1.89 2.38 2.71 3.09 3.36 3.58 3.83 4.14 4.40 4.64 4.85 4.96 5.07
Standard deviation 0.72 1.35 2.19 2.71 2.94 3.05 3.15 3.24 3.37 3.43 3.37 3.55 3.63 3.58 3.19
Median 0.00 0.17 1.07 1.38 1.79 1.87 2.31 2.24 2.17 2.43 2.70 3.20 3.03 2.87 2.70
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 3.70 5.52 8.33 9.85 11.02 11.81 12.60 12.60 12.60 12.60 12.60 13.39 13.39 14.17 14.17
Rating: B
1986 16.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25
1987 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
1988 17.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 5.88 5.88 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76
1989 17.0 0.00 0.00 5.88 5.88 5.88 5.88 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76
1990 13.0 0.00 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38 15.38
1991 15.0 0.00 6.67 6.67 6.67 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33
1992 14.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14
1993 22.0 0.00 4.55 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09
1994 19.0 10.53 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79
1995 16.0 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25
1996 15.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 14.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1998 15.0 0.00 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67
1999 12.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2000 10.0 20.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00
2001 14.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 14.29 14.29 14.29
2002 12.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.33 8.33 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67
2003 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.56 5.56 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
2004 27.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.41 11.11 11.11 14.81 14.81 14.81 14.81 14.81 14.81
2005 21.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.76 4.76 14.29 19.05 19.05 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81
2006 37.0 0.00 0.00 2.70 2.70 8.11 10.81 10.81 13.51 13.51 13.51 13.51 13.51 13.51 13.51 13.51
2007 30.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 10.00 10.00 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33
2008 29.0 3.45 3.45 3.45 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90
2009 30.0 0.00 0.00 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33
2010 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 26.0 0.00 3.85 3.85 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69
2012 30.0 0.00 3.33 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67
2013 45.0 13.33 17.78 17.78 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 22.22 22.22 22.22 22.22
2014 39.0 2.56 7.69 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.26 10.26 12.82 12.82 12.82 12.82
2015 42.0 2.38 4.76 14.29 14.29 16.67 16.67 19.05 19.05 19.05 19.05
2016 40.0 0.00 2.50 2.50 5.00 5.00 7.50 7.50 7.50 7.50
2017 55.0 0.00 0.00 3.64 3.64 5.45 5.45 5.45 5.45
2018 53.0 0.00 1.89 1.89 3.77 3.77 3.77 3.77
2019 53.0 3.77 3.77 5.66 5.66 9.43 9.43
2020 41.0 0.00 2.44 2.44 7.32 7.32
2021 46.0 0.00 0.00 4.35 4.35
2022 34.0 0.00 5.88 5.88
2023 33.0 6.06 6.06
2024 30.0 0.00
Marginal average 1.73 1.81 1.59 1.34 1.07 0.76 0.95 0.59 0.64 0.34 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 1.73 3.51 5.05 6.32 7.32 8.03 8.90 9.43 10.01 10.32 10.48 10.66 10.84 10.84 10.84
Standard deviation 4.24 6.09 6.32 6.26 6.46 6.72 6.89 7.03 7.27 7.20 7.08 7.29 7.07 7.17 7.30
Median 0.00 0.94 3.33 5.77 6.67 6.78 7.14 7.32 7.69 8.71 9.09 9.55 10.00 10.56 11.11
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 20.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00
Rating: CCC/C
1986 4.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
1987 7.0 28.57 28.57 42.86 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14 57.14
1988 8.0 0.00 12.50 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
1989 10.0 10.00 20.00 20.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00
1990 9.0 33.33 33.33 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56 55.56
1991 11.0 9.09 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27 27.27
1992 15.0 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
1993 5.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00
1994 7.0 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86
1995 6.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
1996 4.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
1997 7.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57
1998 6.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
1999 9.0 11.11 22.22 22.22 22.22 22.22 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44 44.44
2000 10.0 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00
2001 6.0 33.33 33.33 33.33 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67
2002 10.0 0.00 0.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00
2003 5.0 0.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00
2004 6.0 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
2005 4.0 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
2006 5.0 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00
2007 4.0 0.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
2008 8.0 12.50 12.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50
2009 7.0 0.00 28.57 28.57 28.57 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86 42.86
2010 10.0 20.00 30.00 30.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00
2011 16.0 18.75 18.75 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
2012 22.0 31.82 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36
2013 31.0 25.81 29.03 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26 32.26
2014 21.0 19.05 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81 23.81
2015 18.0 16.67 27.78 27.78 27.78 27.78 27.78 27.78 27.78 27.78 27.78
2016 53.0 26.42 54.72 54.72 54.72 54.72 54.72 54.72 54.72 54.72
2017 31.0 51.61 51.61 51.61 51.61 51.61 51.61 51.61 51.61
2018 24.0 0.00 4.17 4.17 4.17 8.33 8.33 8.33
2019 14.0 7.14 7.14 7.14 14.29 14.29 14.29
2020 7.0 14.29 14.29 28.57 28.57 28.57
2021 8.0 25.00 37.50 37.50 37.50
2022 11.0 18.18 18.18 18.18
2023 9.0 22.22 33.33
2024 8.0 37.50
Marginal average 19.96 9.72 3.76 2.68 1.75 0.73 0.77 0.84 0.91 1.03 1.12 1.24 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 19.96 27.74 30.46 32.32 33.51 33.99 34.50 35.05 35.64 36.31 37.02 37.80 37.80 37.80 37.80
Standard deviation 14.48 16.29 16.96 18.37 18.60 18.98 18.20 16.95 15.98 14.43 14.07 12.07 12.24 12.47 12.39
Median 14.29 23.02 25.00 27.53 28.57 30.00 32.26 32.80 33.33 33.33 33.33 36.93 37.50 38.75 40.00
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00
Maximum 51.61 60.00 60.00 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67 66.67
*Excludes housing. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 35

USPF one-year static pool default rates by modifier*
Year AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C
1986 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 0.00
1987 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 28.57
1988 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00
1989 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00
1990 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33
1991 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09
1992 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33
1993 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 0.00 14.29
1995 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.11 0.00 0.00
1996 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1998 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1999 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.11
2000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 20.00 0.00 10.00
2001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33
2002 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2003 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2004 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00
2005 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00
2006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00
2007 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2008 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 0.00 12.50
2009 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2010 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00
2011 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.75
2012 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.82
2013 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.22 0.00 25.81
2014 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.38 7.69 0.00 0.00 19.05
2015 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.00 7.69 0.00 0.00 7.14 16.67
2016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.42
2017 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.61
2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.00 0.00 5.26 6.67 7.14
2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29
2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00
2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.18
2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.69 25.00 22.22
2024 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0.071839 0 0 0 0 0 4.761905 0 0 0 37.5
*Excludes housing. N/A--Not applicable. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 36

USPF housing static pool default rates (1986 - 2024) (%)
--Time horizon (years)--
Rating Number of issuers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1986 2,593.0 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.15 0.19 0.27 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31
1987 2,706.0 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.52 0.55 0.63 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.70 0.70 0.70
1988 2,829.0 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.46 0.49 0.57 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64
1989 2,988.0 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.44 0.50 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57
1990 2,765.0 0.00 0.58 0.61 0.69 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76
1991 2,850.0 0.63 0.67 0.74 0.77 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84
1992 2,785.0 0.04 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22
1993 2,775.0 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
1994 2,610.0 0.04 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
1995 2,648.0 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
1996 2,417.0 0.04 0.04 0.12 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41
1997 2,556.0 0.00 0.16 0.23 0.23 0.27 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63
1998 2,689.0 0.07 0.15 0.15 0.19 0.41 0.52 0.60 0.63 0.71 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74
1999 2,798.0 0.07 0.07 0.11 0.32 0.43 0.50 0.54 0.61 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68
2000 3,014.0 0.00 0.03 0.23 0.36 0.43 0.56 0.63 0.70 0.70 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73
2001 3,302.0 0.03 0.21 0.36 0.42 0.55 0.61 0.67 0.67 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70
2002 3,569.0 0.17 0.31 0.42 0.53 0.59 0.64 0.64 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67
2003 3,796.0 0.13 0.24 0.40 0.47 0.53 0.55 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66
2004 3,825.0 0.10 0.26 0.34 0.39 0.42 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52
2005 3,713.0 0.16 0.24 0.32 0.35 0.43 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46
2006 3,558.0 0.08 0.17 0.20 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34
2007 3,452.0 0.09 0.12 0.20 0.20 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32
2008 3,398.0 0.03 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24
2009 3,456.0 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20
2010 3,313.0 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
2011 2,912.0 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
2012 2,797.0 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18
2013 2,639.0 0.04 0.04 0.15 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
2014 2,484.0 0.00 0.12 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16
2015 2,386.0 0.13 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
2016 2,340.0 0.04 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
2017 2,244.0 0.09 0.09 0.18 0.31 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40
2018 2,255.0 0.00 0.18 0.58 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67
2019 2,238.0 0.31 0.85 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07
2020 2,226.0 0.54 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.85
2021 2,242.0 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.31
2022 2,243.0 0.00 0.00 0.09
2023 2,253.0 0.00 0.09
2024 2,330.0 0.09
Marginal average 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.09 0.17 0.25 0.30 0.36 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46
Standard deviation 0.14 0.20 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.23
Median 0.04 0.11 0.16 0.22 0.28 0.36 0.40 0.36 0.32 0.38 0.41 0.44 0.46 0.49 0.52
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
Maximum 0.63 0.85 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 37

USPF Housing Static Pool Default Rates By Category (1986 - 2024) (%)
--Time horizon (years)--
Number of issuers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Rating: AAA
1986 866.0 0.00 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
1987 888.0 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24
1988 910.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10
1989 1005.0 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
1990 967.0 0.00 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45
1991 1046.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1992 1122.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1993 1184.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
1994 1079.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09
1995 1220.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
1996 1254.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
1997 1460.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
1998 1741.0 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
1999 1848.0 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2000 2023.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2001 2242.0 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2002 2474.0 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2003 2626.0 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2004 2622.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2005 2571.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2006 2341.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2007 2292.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2008 2248.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2009 2227.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
2010 2057.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2011 1583.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
2012 222.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2013 188.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2014 200.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2015 194.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2016 196.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 211.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 232.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 245.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2020 276.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2021 304.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2022 309.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 321.0 0.00 0.00
2024 393.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Standard deviation 0.02 0.23 0.28 0.33 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.44
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 0.11 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45
Rating: AA
1986 1016.0 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30
1987 1057.0 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28
1988 1090.0 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18
1989 1105.0 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09
1990 1006.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1991 934.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1992 690.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1993 661.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 620.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1995 627.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1996 556.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 545.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18
1998 476.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
1999 539.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
2000 575.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17
2001 618.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16
2002 669.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
2003 679.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
2004 718.0 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
2005 707.0 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
2006 832.0 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
2007 826.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
2008 835.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
2009 882.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2010 904.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 872.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2012 2129.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2013 2006.0 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2014 1879.0 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
2015 1811.0 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
2016 1793.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 1719.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 1693.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 1647.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2020 1642.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2021 1650.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2022 1664.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 1675.0 0.00 0.00
2024 1681.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
Standard deviation 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30
Rating: A
1986 639.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.31 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63
1987 659.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.30 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.76 0.76 0.76
1988 720.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.28 0.56 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83
1989 639.0 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47
1990 571.0 0.00 0.18 0.18 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
1991 625.0 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16
1992 746.0 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13
1993 728.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
1994 737.0 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
1995 656.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1996 504.0 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79
1997 466.0 0.00 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86
1998 398.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 1.01 1.26 1.26 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51
1999 341.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 1.17 1.47 1.47 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76
2000 339.0 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.59 0.88 1.18 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77
2001 357.0 0.00 0.28 0.56 0.84 1.12 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68
2002 343.0 0.29 0.58 0.87 0.87 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17
2003 390.0 0.00 0.26 0.26 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.77 0.77 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03
2004 373.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.27 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54
2005 327.0 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31
2006 278.0 0.00 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36
2007 238.0 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84
2008 231.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43
2009 261.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2010 249.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 319.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2012 296.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34
2013 305.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33
2014 298.0 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34
2015 284.0 0.00 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
2016 261.0 0.38 0.77 0.77 0.77 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.53
2017 199.0 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50
2018 205.0 0.00 0.49 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44
2019 215.0 0.00 1.86 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79
2020 159.0 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26
2021 153.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2022 158.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 156.0 0.00 0.00
2024 155.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.04 0.09 0.11 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.04 0.13 0.24 0.31 0.40 0.49 0.55 0.59 0.62 0.63 0.63 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.65
Standard deviation 0.23 0.39 0.62 0.62 0.66 0.67 0.58 0.49 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.56
Median 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.26 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.39 0.36 0.36 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.50 0.54
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 1.26 1.86 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.44 1.76 1.76 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77
Rating: BBB
1986 71.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1987 92.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 82.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1989 207.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.97 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45
1990 166.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60
1991 165.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1992 156.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1993 148.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 134.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1995 115.0 0.00 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87
1996 85.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53
1997 70.0 0.00 1.43 1.43 1.43 2.86 7.14 7.14 7.14 8.57 8.57 8.57 8.57 8.57 8.57 8.57
1998 62.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61 6.45 8.06 9.68 11.29 11.29 12.90 12.90 12.90 12.90 12.90 12.90
1999 60.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 6.67 8.33 10.00 10.00 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33 13.33
2000 63.0 0.00 0.00 4.76 6.35 7.94 11.11 11.11 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29
2001 57.0 0.00 3.51 7.02 8.77 12.28 12.28 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79
2002 55.0 1.82 5.45 9.09 10.91 10.91 14.55 14.55 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36
2003 59.0 0.00 3.39 5.08 6.78 10.17 10.17 11.86 11.86 11.86 11.86 11.86 11.86 11.86 11.86 11.86
2004 58.0 1.72 3.45 6.90 8.62 8.62 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34
2005 54.0 0.00 1.85 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70
2006 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2007 41.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2008 34.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2009 37.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41
2010 49.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 37.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2012 68.0 0.00 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47
2013 67.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2014 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2015 42.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38
2016 48.0 0.00 2.08 2.08 2.08 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.17
2017 81.0 1.23 1.23 3.70 7.41 9.88 9.88 9.88 9.88
2018 77.0 0.00 3.90 10.39 12.99 12.99 12.99 12.99
2019 77.0 0.00 9.09 10.39 10.39 10.39 10.39
2020 86.0 5.81 9.30 9.30 9.30 10.47
2021 54.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2022 57.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 57.0 0.00 0.00
2024 63.0 0.00
Marginal average 0.26 0.85 0.66 0.54 0.59 0.49 0.35 0.16 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 0.26 1.11 1.76 2.29 2.86 3.34 3.68 3.84 3.96 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
Standard deviation 1.01 2.36 3.38 3.99 4.55 4.91 5.18 5.38 5.55 5.72 5.82 5.87 5.92 6.00 6.05
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 1.02 1.45 1.16 0.87 0.74 0.60 0.74 0.87 0.74 0.87
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 5.81 9.30 10.39 12.99 12.99 14.55 15.79 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36 16.36
Rating: BB
1986 1.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1987 3.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 19.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1989 22.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1990 46.0 0.00 2.17 2.17 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52
1991 69.0 24.64 24.64 26.09 27.54 28.99 28.99 28.99 28.99 30.43 30.43 30.43 30.43 30.43 30.43 30.43
1992 47.0 0.00 0.00 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13
1993 28.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1995 15.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1996 7.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 8.0 0.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50 37.50
1998 4.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
1999 5.0 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00
2000 10.0 0.00 10.00 30.00 40.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
2001 16.0 0.00 6.25 12.50 12.50 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75
2002 12.0 8.33 8.33 16.67 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
2003 19.0 0.00 5.26 15.79 15.79 15.79 21.05 26.32 26.32 26.32 26.32 26.32 26.32 26.32 26.32 26.32
2004 33.0 3.03 6.06 6.06 9.09 12.12 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15
2005 28.0 0.00 0.00 3.57 3.57 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71
2006 29.0 0.00 3.45 3.45 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90
2007 22.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2008 19.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2009 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2010 26.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 68.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2012 41.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2013 39.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2014 37.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2015 29.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2016 21.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 31.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 26.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2020 29.0 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 6.90
2021 41.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.88
2022 22.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 22.0 0.00 0.00
2024 15.0 0.00
Marginal average 2.07 0.86 1.11 1.04 0.85 0.51 0.26 0.00 0.14 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 2.07 2.91 3.99 4.99 5.80 6.28 6.53 6.53 6.66 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80
Standard deviation 4.16 5.92 8.53 10.55 12.18 13.69 14.61 14.75 14.96 15.08 15.23 15.37 15.51 15.65 15.79
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06 2.13
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 24.64 25.00 30.00 40.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
Rating: B
1987 5.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 5.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1989 7.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1990 5.0 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00
1991 5.0 0.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00
1992 19.0 5.26 10.53 10.53 10.53 10.53 10.53 10.53 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79 15.79
1993 10.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1994 6.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1995 4.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1996 4.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1997 1.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1998 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1999 1.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2000 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2001 6.0 0.00 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67
2002 12.0 16.67 25.00 25.00 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
2003 12.0 0.00 0.00 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67
2004 11.0 0.00 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18
2005 16.0 6.25 6.25 6.25 12.50 12.50 12.50 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75 18.75
2006 18.0 0.00 5.56 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
2007 22.0 9.09 9.09 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64
2008 19.0 0.00 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26
2009 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2010 17.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76
2011 25.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00
2012 38.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26
2013 27.0 3.70 3.70 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11 11.11
2014 19.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2015 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2016 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 14.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 15.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 10.0 0.00 10.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00
2020 18.0 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56
2021 20.0 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00
2022 11.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 11.0 0.00 0.00
2024 12.0 0.00
Marginal average 2.26 1.94 2.03 0.94 0.50 0.52 0.27 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 2.26 4.15 6.10 6.98 7.44 7.93 8.17 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43
Standard deviation 4.02 6.83 8.74 9.39 9.35 9.44 8.86 9.03 9.08 9.13 9.17 9.21 9.37 9.55 9.75
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.63 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 2.63
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 16.67 25.00 30.00 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
Rating: CCC/C
1987 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1988 3.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1989 3.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1990 4.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1991 6.0 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67
1992 5.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00
1993 16.0 12.50 18.75 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25
1994 14.0 7.14 14.29 14.29 14.29 14.29 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43 21.43
1995 11.0 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18
1996 7.0 14.29 14.29 14.29 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57 28.57
1997 6.0 0.00 0.00 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67 16.67
1998 6.0 33.33 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
1999 4.0 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
2000 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2001 6.0 16.67 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
2002 4.0 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
2003 11.0 36.36 36.36 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45 45.45
2004 10.0 20.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00
2005 10.0 50.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00
2006 10.0 20.00 20.00 20.00 40.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00
2007 11.0 0.00 9.09 27.27 27.27 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36
2008 12.0 8.33 25.00 25.00 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
2009 11.0 27.27 27.27 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36 36.36
2010 11.0 0.00 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09 9.09
2011 8.0 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50
2012 3.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2013 7.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2014 11.0 0.00 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18 18.18
2015 6.0 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33
2016 3.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 18.0 38.89 38.89 38.89 38.89 38.89 38.89
2020 16.0 18.75 31.25 31.25 31.25 31.25
2021 20.0 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
2022 22.0 0.00 0.00 9.09
2023 11.0 0.00 18.18
2024 11.0 18.18
Marginal average 13.85 6.27 3.27 2.30 1.55 1.11 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cumulative average 13.85 19.25 21.89 23.69 24.87 25.70 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15 26.15
Standard deviation 13.76 16.13 16.61 17.05 18.04 18.60 18.70 18.61 18.48 18.31 18.54 18.87 18.67 18.40 18.61
Median 8.71 14.29 15.48 18.18 19.09 20.00 19.09 20.00 20.71 21.43 20.71 21.43 23.21 25.00 25.00
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 50.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.00
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 38

USPF housing one-year static pool default rates by modifier
Year AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C
1986 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1987 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A N/A 0.00 N/A 0.00
1988 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A 0.00 N/A 0.00
1989 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A 0.00 N/A 0.00
1990 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00
1991 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 16.67
1992 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.56 N/A 0.00
1993 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 12.50
1994 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 7.14
1995 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 9.09
1996 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A 0.00 N/A 14.29
1997 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 0.00
1998 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 33.33
1999 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 25.00
2000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 0.00
2001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 N/A 16.67
2002 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.13 0.00 3.23 0.00 0.00 12.50 N/A N/A 20.00 0.00 25.00
2003 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A 0.00 0.00 36.36
2004 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.00 0.00 100.00 N/A 0.00 0.00 20.00
2005 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 50.00
2006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00
2007 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A 10.53 0.00 0.00
2008 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.33
2009 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27
2010 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A 0.00 0.00 0.00
2011 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50
2012 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2013 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.00 0.00
2014 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2015 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33
2016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2017 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.85 0.00 2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.89
2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.41 5.71 0.00 21.43 0.00 12.50 0.00 12.50 0.00 0.00 18.75
2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 10.00 10.00
2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.18
N/A--Not applicable. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 39

Most recent one-, three-, and 10-year default rates by modifier (%)*
Rating One year (2024 pool) Three years (2022 pool) 10 years (2014 pool)
AAA 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA- 0.00 0.00 0.05
A+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
A 0.00 0.00 0.09
A- 0.07 0.07 0.00
BBB+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
BBB 0.00 0.00 1.07
BBB- 0.00 0.31 1.63
BB+ 0.00 0.64 2.16
BB 0.00 2.19 11.54
BB- 4.76 4.65 25.00
B+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 0.00 6.67 35.29
B- 0.00 20.00 14.29
CCC/C 37.50 18.18 27.78
*Excludes housing. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 40

USPF most recent rating transition rates by modifier (%)*
Rating Number of issuers AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C D NR
One year (2024 - 2024)
AAA 1,124.0 98.31 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07
AA+ 2,401.0 1.12 91.88 1.83 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00
AA 2,872.0 0.03 2.51 92.27 1.22 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.86
AA- 3,855.0 0.00 0.00 2.23 90.87 1.69 0.26 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.85
A+ 4,780.0 0.00 0.00 0.08 3.49 90.46 1.78 0.27 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.85
A 3,248.0 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.12 3.97 89.04 1.94 0.49 0.06 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.28
A- 1,392.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36 4.81 85.27 2.30 0.57 0.14 0.22 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.07 5.10
BBB+ 437.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83 5.49 82.38 5.03 0.92 0.46 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.66
BBB 359.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 4.46 5.57 77.72 3.62 1.11 0.56 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.85
BBB- 311.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 2.57 3.86 85.85 4.18 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.89
BB+ 156.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.00 2.56 5.77 81.41 3.85 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.49
BB 133.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.00 4.51 89.47 2.26 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50
BB- 42.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38 2.38 4.76 61.90 9.52 2.38 0.00 0.00 4.76 11.90
B+ 15.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.33 66.67 6.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67
B 10.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 90.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B- 5.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 0.00 0.00 20.00
CCC/C 8.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50 0.00 0.00 50.00 37.50 0.00
Three years (2022 - 2024)
AAA 1,096.0 93.70 1.28 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.93
AA+ 2,287.0 2.89 81.59 2.36 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.90
AA 3,023.0 0.07 8.53 76.94 2.12 0.20 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.07
AA- 3,974.0 0.00 0.18 6.11 77.08 2.54 0.73 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.24
A+ 4,888.0 0.00 0.06 0.55 6.94 77.21 2.97 0.53 0.12 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.56
A 3,232.0 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.90 10.06 71.81 2.88 0.80 0.19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.12
A- 1,338.0 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.15 3.81 16.37 60.69 3.44 1.57 0.37 0.37 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.07 12.86
BBB+ 540.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 4.07 10.19 13.15 48.70 4.81 1.67 0.93 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.56
BBB 567.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.23 2.82 27.34 8.64 35.27 5.11 1.41 0.53 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.46
BBB- 318.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.31 3.14 2.20 6.92 9.43 57.23 5.35 1.26 0.63 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 12.26
BB+ 156.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 1.28 1.28 8.97 10.90 54.49 9.62 1.28 0.64 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.64 9.62
BB 137.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.73 5.84 10.22 61.31 2.92 2.19 0.00 1.46 0.00 2.19 12.41
BB- 43.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.33 9.30 4.65 11.63 39.53 4.65 6.98 0.00 0.00 4.65 16.28
B+ 14.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 57.14 14.29 0.00 7.14 0.00 14.29
B 15.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 13.33 20.00 6.67 26.67 0.00 0.00 6.67 20.00
B- 5.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 0.00 20.00 40.00
CCC/C 11.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27 18.18 45.45
10 years (2015 - 2024)
AAA 880.0 77.73 4.55 1.14 0.45 0.00 0.45 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.57
AA+ 1,761.0 10.73 44.01 5.22 1.19 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.39
AA 3,003.0 1.43 14.12 38.49 5.83 0.97 0.33 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.56
AA- 3,717.0 0.13 2.69 13.08 38.12 6.94 1.61 0.46 0.11 0.13 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 36.62
A+ 4,715.0 0.02 0.51 2.23 11.56 39.64 6.57 1.27 0.59 0.13 0.11 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.29
A 3,309.0 0.00 0.18 0.70 3.63 15.08 25.51 4.90 1.24 0.60 0.15 0.21 0.06 0.09 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.09 47.48
A- 1,611.0 0.00 0.25 0.81 2.55 6.83 16.45 17.50 4.03 1.80 0.87 0.37 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.36
BBB+ 563.0 0.00 0.18 1.07 2.13 6.93 11.37 10.66 10.30 2.66 1.95 1.42 0.53 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 50.09
BBB 469.0 0.00 0.00 0.43 2.35 7.46 8.53 7.46 7.04 11.51 5.76 1.71 1.92 0.43 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 1.07 43.92
BBB- 369.0 0.00 0.00 0.54 1.08 2.17 4.07 3.52 4.88 6.23 16.80 5.15 2.98 1.90 0.81 0.00 0.27 0.00 1.63 47.97
BB+ 139.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72 2.88 0.00 1.44 0.72 3.60 7.91 12.23 7.91 0.72 0.00 0.72 0.72 0.72 2.16 57.55
BB 78.0 0.00 0.00 1.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.28 0.00 5.13 2.56 7.69 15.38 2.56 2.56 0.00 0.00 2.56 11.54 47.44
BB- 52.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 1.92 3.85 0.00 0.00 1.92 1.92 3.85 1.92 5.77 1.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 50.00
B+ 11.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 9.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.82
B 17.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.00 5.88 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.29 47.06
B- 14.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 0.00 0.00 14.29 71.43
CCC/C 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.78 66.67
*Excludes housing. NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 41

Most recent one-, three-, and 10-year USPF housing default rates by modifier (%)
Rating One year (2024 pool) Three years (2022 pool) 10 years (2014 pool)
AAA 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA+ 0.00 0.00 0.07
AA 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA- 0.00 0.00 0.00
A+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
A 0.00 0.00 1.20
A- 0.00 0.00 0.00
BBB+ 0.00 0.00 9.09
BBB 0.00 0.00 0.00
BBB- 0.00 0.00 0.00
BB+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
BB 0.00 0.00 0.00
BB- 0.00 0.00 0.00
B+ 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 0.00 0.00 0.00
B- 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 18.18 9.09 33.33
Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 42

USPF housing most recent rating transition rates by modifier (%)
Rating Number of issuers AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC/C D NR
One year (2024 - 2024)
AAA 393 95.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.33
AA+ 1,445 0.00 94.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.33
AA 95 0.00 0.00 96.84 1.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.11
AA- 141 0.00 0.00 3.55 92.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.26
A+ 101 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.96 90.10 0.00 1.98 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.97
A 32 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.13 9.38 84.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.13
A- 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.55 22.73 68.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.55
BBB+ 27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.41 14.81 70.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.41
BBB 28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.86 21.43 57.14 3.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
BBB- 8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50 0.00 50.00 12.50 0.00 0.00 12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50
BB+ 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 0.00 71.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29
BB 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00
BB- 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67
B+ 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.67 0.00 33.33 50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B- 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 80.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.55 18.18 27.27
Three years (2022 - 2024)
AAA 309 84.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.86
AA+ 1,276 1.80 82.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.44
AA 222 0.00 36.94 33.78 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.48
AA- 166 0.00 0.00 7.23 62.65 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.52
A+ 88 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.36 76.14 2.27 2.27 1.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.82
A 41 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.32 21.95 46.34 2.44 0.00 2.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.51
A- 29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.48 41.38 0.00 0.00 3.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.69
BBB+ 31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.45 6.45 12.90 64.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.68
BBB 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27 4.55 40.91 9.09 4.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.64
BBB- 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00
BB+ 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.18 27.27 18.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 0.00 27.27
BB 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.67 0.00 0.00 33.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00
BB- 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00
B+ 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00
B 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B- 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 33.33
CCC/C 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.55 0.00 0.00 27.27 9.09 59.09
10 years (2015 - 2024)
AAA 194 34.02 4.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.86
AA+ 1,337 0.97 36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 62.15
AA 315 0.00 12.06 14.92 6.03 0.32 3.81 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.90
AA- 159 0.00 3.14 8.18 13.84 5.66 1.26 3.14 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.15
A+ 124 0.00 0.81 0.81 12.10 11.29 2.42 0.00 0.81 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.97
A 83 0.00 0.00 1.20 7.23 10.84 3.61 0.00 4.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20 71.08
A- 77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.19 1.30 3.90 2.60 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.82
BBB+ 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 9.09 9.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 9.09 0.00 9.09 45.45
BBB 23 0.00 0.00 4.35 0.00 4.35 0.00 13.04 8.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.57
BBB- 8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.50
BB+ 17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.65 5.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.47
BB 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.14
BB- 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00
B+ 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00
B 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.33 0.00 75.00
B- 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.67 33.33 50.00
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 43

USPF static pool one-year transition matrices by category*
From/to Number of issuers AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
Static pool: 1/1/1986
AAA 53 90.57 7.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.89
AA 957 0.21 93.10 0.94 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.64
A 2,953 0.00 1.56 90.01 1.02 0.07 0.00 0.03 0.00 7.31
BBB 993 0.00 0.20 1.21 89.93 0.70 0.20 0.20 0.00 7.55
BB 55 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 80.00 5.45 0.00 0.00 5.45
B 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.25 0.00 87.50 0.00 0.00 6.25
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1987
AAA 52 90.38 9.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,026 0.29 91.72 1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.82
A 2,980 0.00 0.94 88.76 1.34 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.89
BBB 1,053 0.00 0.09 2.56 88.60 0.95 0.28 0.09 0.09 7.31
BB 54 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.26 74.07 0.00 1.85 0.00 14.81
B 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 70.00 5.00 0.00 5.00
CCC/C 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.43 28.57 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1988
AAA 50 98.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,052 0.10 95.15 1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.23
A 2,920 0.00 0.89 92.16 0.82 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.10
BBB 1,066 0.00 0.28 1.59 91.09 0.28 0.19 0.09 0.00 6.47
BB 55 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 80.00 1.82 1.82 0.00 7.27
B 17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 82.35 5.88 0.00 5.88
CCC/C 8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.50 0.00 12.50
Static pool: 1/1/1989
AAA 52 98.08 1.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,128 0.09 95.39 0.27 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.55
A 2,935 0.00 1.23 94.11 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 4.16
BBB 1,114 0.00 0.00 1.80 93.72 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.95
BB 54 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.70 83.33 1.85 0.00 3.70 7.41
B 17 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.00 5.88 70.59 0.00 0.00 17.65
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 10.00 20.00
Static pool: 1/1/1990
AAA 58 98.28 1.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,216 0.16 95.31 2.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.14
A 3,069 0.00 0.59 93.09 2.64 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.00 3.55
BBB 1,183 0.00 0.17 0.85 92.05 0.93 0.17 0.51 0.00 5.33
BB 53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.91 7.55 0.00 0.00 7.55
B 13 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.38 7.69 61.54 7.69 0.00 7.69
CCC/C 9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.11 0.00 44.44 33.33 11.11
Static pool: 1/1/1991
AAA 63 93.65 4.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59
AA 1,328 0.00 90.96 6.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.86
A 3,174 0.00 0.63 93.38 1.35 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.54
BBB 1,302 0.00 0.00 1.15 93.32 0.23 0.08 0.23 0.00 4.99
BB 65 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.08 87.69 0.00 1.54 0.00 7.69
B 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.67 6.67 0.00 6.67
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.91 9.09 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1992
AAA 61 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,373 0.15 93.59 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.66
A 3,410 0.00 0.65 90.35 1.47 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.51
BBB 1,460 0.00 0.00 0.89 92.05 0.62 0.14 0.00 0.00 6.30
BB 66 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.64 65.15 6.06 3.03 0.00 12.12
B 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.43 7.14 0.00 21.43
CCC/C 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 40.00 13.33 33.33 6.67
Static pool: 1/1/1993
AAA 64 98.44 1.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,467 0.07 91.21 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.98
A 3,504 0.03 0.43 88.76 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.19
BBB 1,597 0.00 0.00 2.19 86.60 0.63 0.06 0.06 0.00 10.46
BB 56 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.57 78.57 5.36 0.00 0.00 12.50
B 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27 59.09 4.55 0.00 9.09
CCC/C 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1994
AAA 68 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,484 0.07 90.77 1.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.21
A 3,498 0.00 0.94 87.19 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.89
BBB 1,627 0.00 0.00 1.04 87.34 0.61 0.06 0.06 0.00 10.88
BB 62 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61 79.03 3.23 0.00 0.00 16.13
B 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26 63.16 0.00 10.53 21.05
CCC/C 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 71.43 14.29 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1995
AAA 69 97.10 2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,475 0.14 85.08 1.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.76
A 3,330 0.00 0.60 75.62 1.50 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 22.25
BBB 1,617 0.00 0.00 1.05 77.49 0.68 0.25 0.00 0.00 20.53
BB 62 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.74 56.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.81
B 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.25 12.50 62.50 0.00 6.25 12.50
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 0.00 33.33
Static pool: 1/1/1996
AAA 74 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,365 0.73 89.89 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.35
A 2,723 0.00 1.84 85.20 0.77 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 12.08
BBB 1,436 0.00 0.07 2.09 85.52 0.49 0.00 0.07 0.00 11.77
BB 48 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.58 64.58 2.08 2.08 0.00 16.67
B 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 60.00 13.33 0.00 20.00
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 0.00 25.00
Static pool: 1/1/1997
AAA 87 97.70 2.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,378 0.94 93.40 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.08
A 2,580 0.04 1.63 91.40 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.71
BBB 1,385 0.00 0.00 1.88 91.19 0.22 0.14 0.00 0.00 6.57
BB 43 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.98 76.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.28
B 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 92.86 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.71 0.00 14.29
Static pool: 1/1/1998
AAA 104 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 1,472 1.09 91.71 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.93
A 2,811 0.00 2.28 87.55 0.39 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 9.68
BBB 1,484 0.00 0.00 1.35 87.53 0.54 0.00 0.07 0.00 10.51
BB 37 0.00 0.00 2.70 5.41 67.57 2.70 2.70 0.00 18.92
B 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 20.00 53.33 6.67 0.00 13.33
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1999
AAA 126 97.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38
AA 1,595 0.50 93.67 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.14
A 3,182 0.00 1.26 88.65 0.63 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 9.43
BBB 1,671 0.00 0.00 8.74 77.32 0.78 0.12 0.00 0.00 13.05
BB 42 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 73.81 9.52 0.00 0.00 9.52
B 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.67 33.33 0.00 50.00
CCC/C 9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 11.11 22.22
Static pool: 1/1/2000
AAA 144 98.61 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69
AA 1,701 1.00 96.00 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.53
A 3,544 0.03 6.41 90.32 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.91
BBB 1,568 0.00 0.26 3.13 90.69 0.45 0.19 0.06 0.00 5.23
BB 46 0.00 0.00 4.35 2.17 84.78 4.35 0.00 0.00 4.35
B 10 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 10.00 20.00 10.00
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 10.00 30.00
Static pool: 1/1/2001
AAA 168 98.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19
AA 2,078 1.15 92.54 2.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.51
A 3,713 0.22 8.51 87.42 0.46 0.03 0.00 0.11 0.00 3.26
BBB 1,603 0.00 0.06 8.36 87.52 0.69 0.06 0.00 0.06 3.24
BB 49 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.08 85.71 2.04 2.04 0.00 6.12
B 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.43 14.29 0.00 14.29
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 33.33 16.67
Static pool: 1/1/2002
AAA 217 99.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.92
AA 2,506 0.56 93.22 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.03
A 3,994 0.00 2.20 92.49 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.28
BBB 1,611 0.00 0.00 3.10 91.00 0.93 0.19 0.00 0.00 4.78
BB 54 0.00 0.00 1.85 9.26 83.33 1.85 0.00 1.85 1.85
B 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.33 0.00 0.00 16.67
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 50.00 0.00 10.00
Static pool: 1/1/2003
AAA 241 97.10 2.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.83
AA 2,720 0.33 93.79 1.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.71
A 4,374 0.00 1.92 90.70 2.51 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.71
BBB 1,720 0.00 0.06 3.43 89.36 1.22 0.17 0.06 0.00 5.70
BB 62 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.06 79.03 11.29 0.00 0.00 1.61
B 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.11 88.89 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2004
AAA 259 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
AA 3,013 0.30 91.30 2.95 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.41
A 4,739 0.00 1.58 92.80 0.57 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 5.00
BBB 1,902 0.00 0.05 6.68 85.75 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.73
BB 81 0.00 0.00 1.23 12.35 75.31 2.47 0.00 0.00 8.64
B 27 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.70 3.70 66.67 0.00 0.00 25.93
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.67 33.33 50.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2005
AAA 284 97.54 0.70 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.00 1.06
AA 3,107 0.42 95.17 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.57
A 5,240 0.00 3.59 92.23 0.69 0.04 0.13 0.00 0.00 3.32
BBB 1,839 0.00 0.00 3.92 89.34 0.82 0.49 0.05 0.00 5.38
BB 81 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.88 82.72 3.70 0.00 0.00 3.70
B 21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.52 85.71 0.00 0.00 4.76
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 25.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2006
AAA 300 96.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.67
AA 3,451 1.68 94.47 0.52 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.30
A 5,511 0.09 2.83 92.98 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.61
BBB 1,893 0.00 0.00 4.65 90.76 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.96
BB 95 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.37 82.11 3.16 1.05 0.00 6.32
B 37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.92 70.27 2.70 0.00 8.11
CCC/C 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 20.00 40.00
Static pool: 1/1/2007
AAA 366 97.81 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91
AA 3,724 0.70 95.65 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.25
A 5,893 0.00 2.38 94.35 0.37 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.00 2.85
BBB 1,962 0.00 0.00 3.06 91.95 0.76 0.25 0.05 0.00 3.92
BB 102 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.82 80.39 1.96 0.00 0.00 8.82
B 30 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 20.00 63.33 6.67 0.00 6.67
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2008
AAA 404 99.01 0.25 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25
AA 3,975 2.87 93.16 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03 3.62
A 6,204 0.03 8.54 88.62 0.40 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.02 2.32
BBB 2,058 0.00 0.29 13.85 82.12 0.58 0.05 0.00 0.05 3.06
BB 115 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.35 85.22 1.74 0.87 0.00 7.83
B 29 0.00 0.00 6.90 0.00 3.45 75.86 3.45 3.45 6.90
CCC/C 8 0.00 0.00 12.50 12.50 0.00 0.00 50.00 12.50 12.50
Static pool: 1/1/2009
AAA 552 96.20 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44
AA 4,789 1.65 92.80 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.30
A 6,579 0.00 7.95 89.33 0.61 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.07
BBB 1,843 0.00 0.60 24.69 70.54 1.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.55
BB 114 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.14 78.95 2.63 0.00 0.00 12.28
B 30 0.00 3.33 0.00 6.67 6.67 56.67 13.33 0.00 13.33
CCC/C 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.43 0.00 28.57
Static pool: 1/1/2010
AAA 658 95.90 1.52 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.43
AA 5,988 0.84 90.71 1.07 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 7.35
A 7,668 0.00 5.83 87.15 1.13 0.09 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.78
BBB 1,453 0.00 0.34 18.58 73.71 0.96 0.28 0.28 0.00 5.85
BB 127 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.66 81.10 0.79 2.36 0.79 6.30
B 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 80.00 5.00 0.00 10.00
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 20.00 10.00
Static pool: 1/1/2011
AAA 712 94.52 2.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.67
AA 6,831 0.37 93.16 2.83 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.63
A 8,417 0.00 2.00 94.23 1.27 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.02 2.34
BBB 1,342 0.00 0.00 5.66 88.52 1.56 0.30 0.22 0.00 3.73
BB 132 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.82 78.03 3.79 2.27 0.00 9.09
B 26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.85 65.38 15.38 0.00 15.38
CCC/C 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.25 56.25 18.75 18.75
Static pool: 1/1/2012
AAA 707 96.89 1.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.70
AA 6,951 0.29 95.12 0.81 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 3.70
A 9,057 0.00 1.46 93.94 0.91 0.04 0.00 0.06 0.03 3.57
BBB 1,440 0.00 0.00 2.99 90.49 0.83 0.21 0.63 0.07 4.79
BB 145 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.76 75.17 11.03 2.76 0.00 8.28
B 30 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 0.00 76.67 13.33 0.00 3.33
CCC/C 22 0.00 0.00 13.64 0.00 4.55 9.09 36.36 31.82 4.55
Static pool: 1/1/2013
AAA 724 95.58 2.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.21
AA 7,261 0.74 95.01 0.77 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.46
A 9,611 0.01 4.29 91.28 0.66 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.61
BBB 1,530 0.00 0.46 10.07 81.83 3.01 0.20 0.13 0.07 4.25
BB 146 0.00 0.00 2.74 2.74 81.51 5.48 0.68 0.00 6.85
B 45 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.44 2.22 57.78 8.89 13.33 13.33
CCC/C 31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.94 25.81 32.26
Static pool: 1/1/2014
AAA 765 98.04 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44
AA 7,803 1.24 94.68 1.04 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.01
A 9,799 0.02 6.49 89.26 1.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 3.13
BBB 1,445 0.00 0.14 7.75 81.87 4.50 0.48 0.28 0.00 4.98
BB 216 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.41 80.09 2.78 0.00 1.39 8.33
B 39 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.56 10.26 61.54 10.26 2.56 12.82
CCC/C 21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.76 14.29 47.62 19.05 14.29
Static pool: 1/1/2015
AAA 880 97.39 0.57 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.82
AA 8,481 0.33 94.86 0.86 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.93
A 9,635 0.00 1.96 93.05 0.43 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 4.54
BBB 1,401 0.00 0.07 7.35 84.23 1.93 0.14 0.29 0.07 5.92
BB 269 0.00 0.00 0.74 7.43 68.03 1.86 10.41 1.49 10.04
B 42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.52 66.67 14.29 2.38 7.14
CCC/C 18 0.00 0.00 5.56 5.56 0.00 5.56 66.67 16.67 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2016
AAA 916 97.27 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.75
AA 8,750 0.45 94.29 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.85
A 9,945 0.00 1.74 91.80 1.94 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.46
BBB 1,366 0.00 0.15 6.22 83.60 3.88 0.51 0.00 0.00 5.64
BB 237 0.00 0.00 0.42 3.80 81.43 4.64 0.42 0.00 9.28
B 40 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 5.00 80.00 5.00 0.00 7.50
CCC/C 53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.66 52.83 26.42 15.09
Static pool: 1/1/2017
AAA 948 98.00 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.16
AA 8,878 0.19 94.53 1.14 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.11
A 9,985 0.00 2.08 91.90 0.70 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 5.30
BBB 1,476 0.00 0.07 3.66 87.13 2.03 0.14 0.27 0.00 6.71
BB 286 0.00 0.00 3.50 2.80 77.97 3.50 0.70 0.70 10.84
B 55 0.00 0.00 1.82 1.82 5.45 70.91 7.27 0.00 12.73
CCC/C 31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.23 3.23 38.71 51.61 3.23
Static pool: 1/1/2018
AAA 968 95.45 2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38
AA 9,003 0.71 94.22 1.07 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.93
A 9,802 0.00 3.21 91.20 0.69 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 4.83
BBB 1,460 0.00 0.96 8.49 83.70 1.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.14
BB 279 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.17 83.15 2.87 0.00 0.00 6.81
B 53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.77 79.25 3.77 0.00 13.21
CCC/C 24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.17 4.17 50.00 0.00 41.67
Static pool: 1/1/2019
AAA 1,020 97.94 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08
AA 9,227 0.57 95.11 0.70 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.58
A 9,586 0.00 2.07 93.15 0.71 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.00 3.98
BBB 1,392 0.00 0.14 4.81 88.58 1.15 0.14 0.00 0.00 5.17
BB 281 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.56 86.48 0.36 0.36 0.36 8.90
B 53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.21 66.04 1.89 3.77 15.09
CCC/C 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 0.00 0.00 35.71 7.14 50.00
Static pool: 1/1/2020
AAA 1,072 97.11 0.65 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.15
AA 9,402 0.12 94.25 1.10 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.52
A 9,539 0.00 0.38 93.22 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.30
BBB 1,396 0.00 0.07 0.43 90.11 3.22 0.43 0.00 0.00 5.73
BB 293 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 89.08 2.05 0.68 0.00 7.51
B 41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.32 80.49 2.44 0.00 9.76
CCC/C 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.43 14.29 14.29
Static pool: 1/1/2021
AAA 1,072 97.29 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.15
AA 9,303 0.18 93.70 0.67 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.40
A 9,484 0.00 1.01 92.58 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 6.08
BBB 1,451 0.00 0.21 3.86 88.77 1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.65
BB 330 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.36 86.06 0.91 0.30 0.00 6.36
B 46 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.17 8.70 65.22 4.35 0.00 19.57
CCC/C 8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 25.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2022
AAA 1,096 97.54 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.19
AA 9,284 0.16 94.52 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.98
A 9,458 0.00 1.29 93.60 0.38 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.71
BBB 1,425 0.00 0.00 5.68 86.60 1.12 0.14 0.07 0.00 6.39
BB 336 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.06 88.69 0.89 0.89 0.00 4.46
B 34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88 82.35 0.00 0.00 11.76
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 0.00 45.45 18.18 27.27
Static pool: 1/1/2023
AAA 1,102 97.73 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91
AA 9,170 0.27 95.51 0.33 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.88
A 9,322 0.00 1.44 94.28 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.95
BBB 1,352 0.00 0.15 19.75 74.26 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.10
BB 338 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.51 86.98 2.07 0.59 0.00 3.85
B 33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.06 69.70 3.03 6.06 15.15
CCC/C 9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.56 22.22 22.22
Static pool: 1/1/2024
AAA 1,124 98.31 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07
AA 9,128 0.31 94.22 0.89 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.58
A 9,420 0.00 1.88 93.20 0.67 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.01 4.18
BBB 1,107 0.00 0.00 4.70 88.98 2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.16
BB 331 0.00 0.30 0.30 4.53 87.92 2.11 0.00 0.60 4.23
B 30 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 10.00 80.00 0.00 0.00 6.67
CCC/C 8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50 50.00 37.50 0.00
*Excludes housing. NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

Table 44

USPF housing static pool one-year transition matrices by category
From/to Number of issuers AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC/C D NR
Static pool: 1/1/1986
AAA 866 91.92 1.96 0.23 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.77
AA 1016 0.10 95.57 1.67 0.30 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.00 2.17
A 639 0.00 0.16 95.31 2.50 0.16 0.47 0.16 0.00 1.25
BBB 71 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.18 0.00 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00
BB 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 0
CCC/C 0
Static pool: 1/1/1987
AAA 888 92.91 4.73 1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.90
AA 1057 0.19 95.08 3.41 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14
A 659 0.30 0.00 94.69 0.30 1.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.03
BBB 92 0.00 1.09 9.78 84.78 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.00 3.26
BB 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1988
AAA 910 96.81 0.55 0.77 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.76
AA 1090 0.18 93.03 1.10 2.39 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.09 3.12
A 720 0.14 0.14 80.42 14.86 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 4.17
BBB 82 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.37 3.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.98
BB 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.47 0.00 10.53 0.00 0.00
B 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33 0.00 66.67
Static pool: 1/1/1989
AAA 1005 85.07 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.83
AA 1105 0.36 83.80 1.09 0.18 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.48
A 639 0.00 0.94 81.69 1.25 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.49
BBB 207 0.00 0.00 1.93 74.40 9.18 0.97 0.48 0.00 13.04
BB 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.45 4.55 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 28.57 0.00 0.00 57.14
CCC/C 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1990
AAA 967 89.35 1.55 0.83 0.00 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.83
AA 1006 0.30 79.62 4.27 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.51
A 571 0.35 1.93 85.99 2.98 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.23
BBB 166 0.00 0.00 3.01 84.34 3.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.64
BB 46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.30 2.17 4.35 0.00 2.17
B 5 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/1991
AAA 1046 92.45 1.15 0.19 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.93
AA 934 0.32 61.99 14.45 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.81
A 625 0.00 0.48 75.52 1.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.24
BBB 165 0.00 0.00 1.21 76.36 10.30 1.82 0.00 0.00 10.30
BB 69 0.00 0.00 2.90 10.14 42.03 18.84 1.45 24.64 0.00
B 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 0.00 0.00 40.00
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 16.67 16.67
Static pool: 1/1/1992
AAA 1122 93.67 0.53 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.53
AA 690 0.14 81.01 4.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 14.64
A 746 0.27 4.29 84.18 1.34 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 9.65
BBB 156 0.00 0.00 5.13 76.28 3.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.74
BB 47 0.00 0.00 4.26 19.15 40.43 2.13 8.51 0.00 25.53
B 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.79 47.37 31.58 5.26 0.00
CCC/C 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 0.00 20.00
Static pool: 1/1/1993
AAA 1184 78.72 0.76 1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.26
AA 661 0.45 82.45 5.30 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.20
A 728 0.41 1.79 85.71 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.13
BBB 148 0.00 2.03 9.46 73.65 1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.51
BB 28 0.00 0.00 3.57 28.57 50.00 3.57 3.57 0.00 10.71
B 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 10.00 0.00 30.00
CCC/C 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.50 0.00 68.75 12.50 6.25
Static pool: 1/1/1994
AAA 1079 93.33 0.09 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.84
AA 620 0.48 86.61 2.74 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00
A 737 0.27 6.65 75.85 1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.15
BBB 134 0.75 0.00 5.97 72.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.90
BB 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 75.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 10.00
B 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 33.33 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.14 7.14 35.71
Static pool: 1/1/1995
AAA 1220 79.51 0.41 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.67
AA 627 0.80 72.73 1.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.20
A 656 0.61 6.86 66.46 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.91
BBB 115 0.00 0.00 7.83 59.13 1.74 0.87 1.74 0.00 28.70
BB 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 33.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.67
B 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 0.00 0.00 25.00
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 9.09 9.09 0.00 0.00 45.45 9.09 27.27
Static pool: 1/1/1996
AAA 1254 90.75 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.01
AA 556 0.90 86.51 0.36 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.05
A 504 0.60 1.98 78.57 0.20 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.25
BBB 85 0.00 0.00 12.94 64.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.35
BB 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 42.86 0.00 14.29 0.00 28.57
B 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 50.00
CCC/C 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.43 14.29 14.29
Static pool: 1/1/1997
AAA 1460 96.10 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.84
AA 545 7.71 73.94 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.80
A 466 0.86 3.22 77.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.88
BBB 70 0.00 1.43 2.86 82.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.86
BB 8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 12.50 25.00 0.00 12.50
B 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 0.00 33.33
Static pool: 1/1/1998
AAA 1741 91.04 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.93
AA 476 1.05 90.97 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.56
A 398 0.25 4.02 74.37 2.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.35
BBB 62 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.19 1.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.19
BB 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
B 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 33.33 16.67
Static pool: 1/1/1999
AAA 1848 93.45 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 6.11
AA 539 1.67 89.80 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.98
A 341 0.29 4.40 81.52 2.35 0.00 0.29 0.00 0.00 11.14
BBB 60 1.67 1.67 0.00 83.33 8.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00
BB 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00
B 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 25.00 50.00
Static pool: 1/1/2000
AAA 2023 96.89 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.82
AA 575 0.87 94.61 1.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.48
A 339 0.59 1.77 90.56 0.88 0.59 0.88 0.00 0.00 4.72
BBB 63 0.00 0.00 1.59 80.95 7.94 3.17 3.17 0.00 3.17
BB 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00
B 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00
CCC/C 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2001
AAA 2242 96.97 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.85
AA 618 2.59 92.56 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.05
A 357 2.52 6.16 82.91 1.40 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.72
BBB 57 0.00 0.00 5.26 84.21 3.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.02
BB 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 37.50 0.00 0.00 12.50
B 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33 16.67 0.00 50.00
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 16.67 33.33
Static pool: 1/1/2002
AAA 2474 96.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.92
AA 669 0.90 89.54 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.37
A 343 0.58 0.58 90.38 1.46 1.17 0.58 0.29 0.29 4.66
BBB 55 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.18 9.09 0.00 3.64 1.82 7.27
BB 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 16.67 8.33 8.33 0.00
B 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.33 25.00 16.67 0.00
CCC/C 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 25.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2003
AAA 2626 91.81 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.04 7.77
AA 679 0.59 91.75 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.63
A 390 1.03 2.31 80.77 2.82 3.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.74
BBB 59 0.00 0.00 1.69 64.41 15.25 0.00 1.69 0.00 16.95
BB 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.37 21.05 5.26 0.00 26.32
B 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.33 16.67 0.00 25.00
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.45 36.36 18.18
Static pool: 1/1/2004
AAA 2622 91.27 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.58
AA 718 2.37 87.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.75
A 373 6.97 0.27 75.87 1.88 1.07 0.27 0.27 0.00 13.40
BBB 58 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.86 8.62 3.45 3.45 1.72 6.90
BB 33 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.55 12.12 6.06 3.03 21.21
B 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.82 9.09 0.00 9.09
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 20.00 40.00
Static pool: 1/1/2005
AAA 2571 84.29 3.85 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.82
AA 707 0.85 85.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.86
A 327 8.87 3.98 72.48 1.83 0.92 0.31 0.00 0.00 11.62
BBB 54 0.00 0.00 1.85 64.81 11.11 1.85 1.85 0.00 18.52
BB 28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.29 17.86 7.14 0.00 10.71
B 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.75 18.75 6.25 6.25
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 50.00 10.00
Static pool: 1/1/2006
AAA 2341 90.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.57
AA 832 4.21 85.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 10.10
A 278 7.91 5.76 74.46 1.08 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.43
BBB 50 0.00 2.00 12.00 68.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00
BB 29 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.45 51.72 27.59 3.45 0.00 13.79
B 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.78 16.67 0.00 5.56
CCC/C 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 20.00 10.00
Static pool: 1/1/2007
AAA 2292 92.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.94
AA 826 1.69 89.95 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.24 0.00 7.99
A 238 2.10 0.42 85.71 0.00 0.42 0.42 0.84 0.42 9.66
BBB 41 0.00 0.00 9.76 73.17 0.00 0.00 2.44 0.00 14.63
BB 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.27 4.55 0.00 0.00 18.18
B 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.27 0.00 9.09 13.64
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.64 0.00 36.36
Static pool: 1/1/2008
AAA 2248 92.62 1.69 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.60
AA 835 3.71 88.26 3.47 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.95
A 231 1.30 1.30 91.34 0.43 2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.46
BBB 34 0.00 0.00 5.88 85.29 0.00 2.94 2.94 0.00 2.94
BB 19 0.00 0.00 5.26 5.26 68.42 5.26 5.26 0.00 10.53
B 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.74 5.26 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 8.33 25.00
Static pool: 1/1/2009
AAA 2227 87.83 5.43 0.09 0.09 0.27 0.00 0.22 0.00 6.06
AA 882 1.25 82.65 1.81 0.34 0.79 0.00 0.34 0.00 12.81
A 261 4.21 0.00 79.69 6.51 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.43
BBB 37 0.00 0.00 8.11 64.86 8.11 5.41 2.70 0.00 10.81
BB 18 0.00 5.56 0.00 5.56 38.89 11.11 0.00 0.00 38.89
B 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.00 0.00 0.00 35.00
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 0.00 18.18 27.27 45.45
Static pool: 1/1/2010
AAA 2057 71.56 3.50 1.26 0.19 1.46 0.39 0.15 0.00 21.49
AA 904 0.22 82.96 4.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.28
A 249 2.41 0.40 82.73 1.20 1.61 0.00 0.40 0.00 11.24
BBB 49 0.00 0.00 12.24 46.94 34.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.12
BB 26 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.85 57.69 11.54 0.00 0.00 26.92
B 17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.47 5.88 0.00 17.65
CCC/C 11 9.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27 0.00 63.64
Static pool: 1/1/2011
AAA 1583 12.89 78.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.03
AA 872 0.57 85.78 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.27
A 319 0.00 5.02 81.19 8.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.33
BBB 37 0.00 2.70 0.00 89.19 2.70 2.70 0.00 0.00 2.70
BB 68 0.00 8.82 0.00 1.47 57.35 23.53 0.00 0.00 8.82
B 25 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.00 0.00 0.00 4.00
CCC/C 8 0.00 12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.50 12.50 37.50
Static pool: 1/1/2012
AAA 222 79.28 6.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.41
AA 2129 0.00 88.35 0.66 0.00 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.00 10.71
A 296 0.00 2.36 81.76 0.34 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.86
BBB 68 0.00 1.47 2.94 86.76 1.47 1.47 0.00 0.00 5.88
BB 41 0.00 0.00 2.44 2.44 80.49 0.00 2.44 0.00 12.20
B 38 0.00 2.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.16 7.89 0.00 26.32
CCC/C 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.67 0.00 33.33
Static pool: 1/1/2013
AAA 188 93.09 1.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.85
AA 2006 0.00 89.33 0.95 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.05 0.00 9.57
A 305 0.00 7.87 76.07 0.98 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.43
BBB 67 0.00 0.00 37.31 47.76 5.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.96
BB 39 0.00 2.56 0.00 2.56 69.23 0.00 5.13 0.00 20.51
B 27 0.00 3.70 3.70 0.00 7.41 70.37 7.41 3.70 3.70
CCC/C 7 0.00 14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.71 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2014
AAA 200 88.00 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.50
AA 1879 0.00 93.03 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.49
A 298 0.00 5.37 82.55 3.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.72
BBB 40 0.00 0.00 35.00 52.50 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.50
BB 37 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.81 64.86 13.51 0.00 0.00 10.81
B 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26 73.68 5.26 0.00 15.79
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 0.00 45.45 0.00 45.45
Static pool: 1/1/2015
AAA 194 88.66 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.82
AA 1811 0.00 92.32 0.11 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 7.45
A 284 0.00 10.21 74.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.49
BBB 42 0.00 0.00 7.14 90.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38
BB 29 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.34 62.07 3.45 0.00 0.00 24.14
B 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 85.00 0.00 0.00 10.00
CCC/C 6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 33.33 16.67
Static pool: 1/1/2016
AAA 196 84.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.31
AA 1793 0.50 88.68 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.60
A 261 0.00 8.43 65.52 11.11 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.38 13.79
BBB 48 0.00 0.00 2.08 79.17 10.42 2.08 0.00 0.00 6.25
BB 21 0.00 0.00 4.76 23.81 47.62 9.52 0.00 0.00 14.29
B 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.11 5.56 0.00 33.33
CCC/C 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33 0.00 33.33 0.00 33.33
Static pool: 1/1/2017
AAA 211 96.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.79
AA 1719 0.00 90.87 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.02
A 199 0.00 1.51 86.43 3.02 3.52 0.00 0.00 0.50 5.03
BBB 81 0.00 0.00 7.41 66.67 12.35 0.00 0.00 1.23 12.35
BB 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.22 16.67 0.00 0.00 11.11
B 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.71 0.00 0.00 14.29
CCC/C 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2018
AAA 232 93.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.90
AA 1693 0.00 90.37 0.89 0.24 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.39
A 205 0.00 0.00 89.27 3.41 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.00 6.83
BBB 77 0.00 0.00 7.79 64.94 10.39 5.19 5.19 0.00 6.49
BB 31 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.23 48.39 3.23 12.90 0.00 32.26
B 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 6.67 33.33 20.00 0.00 33.33
CCC/C 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2019
AAA 245 92.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.35
AA 1647 0.00 91.38 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.08
A 215 0.00 0.93 66.51 13.95 1.86 0.00 1.40 0.00 15.35
BBB 77 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.04 12.99 7.79 2.60 0.00 15.58
BB 26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.15 26.92 0.00 0.00 26.92
B 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 40.00 0.00 10.00
CCC/C 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.89 38.89 22.22
Static pool: 1/1/2020
AAA 276 93.48 3.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.90
AA 1642 0.30 91.66 1.46 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.52
A 159 0.63 11.32 69.81 10.06 0.63 1.89 0.00 1.26 4.40
BBB 86 0.00 0.00 10.47 40.70 27.91 6.98 0.00 5.81 8.14
BB 29 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.90 48.28 17.24 6.90 3.45 17.24
B 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.56 33.33 44.44 5.56 11.11
CCC/C 16 0.00 6.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.50 18.75 12.50
Static pool: 1/1/2021
AAA 304 93.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.91
AA 1650 0.06 91.39 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.48
A 153 0.00 3.92 87.58 3.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.23
BBB 54 0.00 0.00 9.26 81.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.26
BB 41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.66 7.32 9.76 0.00 29.27
B 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 15.00 15.00 30.00
CCC/C 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 10.00 15.00
Static pool: 1/1/2022
AAA 309 92.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.77
AA 1664 0.00 93.15 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.73
A 158 0.00 0.63 89.87 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.59
BBB 57 0.00 0.00 1.75 87.72 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.77
BB 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.82 13.64 0.00 0.00 4.55
B 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27 72.73 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 50.00
Static pool: 1/1/2023
AAA 321 95.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.05
AA 1675 1.91 91.40 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.57
A 156 0.00 7.69 90.38 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.28
BBB 57 0.00 0.00 5.26 94.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
BB 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 68.18 4.55 4.55 0.00 13.64
B 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.91 0.00 0.00 9.09
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.09 90.91 0.00 0.00
Static pool: 1/1/2024
AAA 393 95.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.33
AA 1681 0.00 94.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.06
A 155 0.00 3.23 92.90 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.23
BBB 63 0.00 0.00 17.46 74.60 1.59 1.59 0.00 0.00 4.76
BB 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33
B 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 75.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CCC/C 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.55 18.18 27.27
NR--Not rated. Source: S&P Global Ratings Credit Research & Insights.

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This report does not constitute a rating action.

Ratings Performance Analytics:Zev R Gurwitz, Albany + 1 (212) 438 7128;
zev.gurwitz@spglobal.com
Nick W Kraemer, FRM, New York + 1 (212) 438 1698;
nick.kraemer@spglobal.com
Research Contributor:Amol Nakashe, Mumbai;
amol.nakashe@spglobal.com

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