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Most S&P 500 sectors poised for EPS growth in Q2 results

Most S&P 500 sectors are forecast to post second-quarter earnings per share gains compared to a year earlier, according to the latest S&P Global Market Intelligence data.

Analysts predict eight of 11 sectors will report year-over-year EPS gains, contributing to an overall rise in S&P 500 EPS of 8.7% compared to the second quarter of 2023. While companies including PepsiCo Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and others have reported their latest quarterly results earlier in July, the bulk of S&P 500 earnings will be reported later in the month and into August.

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The communication services sector, which counts Meta Platforms Inc. and Netflix Inc. as constituents, is expected to post the highest gain at 21.4%. Industrials, materials and real estate sectors are expected to see year-over-year EPS declines. The real estate sector is forecast to post the largest sectorwide drop at 19.2%.

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Largest S&P 500 companies set for earnings growth

The mega-cap companies that dominate the index are all poised for EPS growth. NVIDIA Corp. is set to post the largest annual EPS gain among the five largest S&P 500 companies at 135.5% over the second quarter of 2023. The semiconductor company has grown in value as companies increasingly adopt generative artificial intelligence technology.

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Amazon.com Inc. is set to post the next-highest EPS growth among the largest S&P 500 companies, with a forecast rise of 56% and revenue growth of 10.6%.

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Analysts predict that property and casualty insurer The Travelers Cos. Inc.'s quarterly earnings will show the most improvement year over year among S&P 500 constituents, swinging to an expected profit after a 'historic' nearly $1.50 billion hit from catastrophe losses in the second quarter of 2023.

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Meanwhile, healthcare real estate investment trust Ventas Inc. is forecast for the largest decrease in quarterly earnings, with expected quarterly normalized EPS of 1 cent falling more than 94% year over year.